Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:00:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
31,104
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,515.87
Current Value
$9,394.74
Period P&L
$-1,121.13
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
35 / 34
Best Trade
+2.68%
Worst Trade
-5.98%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,436,103.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,121.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,121.13
Gross Return
-10.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,515.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 11:00am ET $113.96 93 $10,598.47
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 11:30am ET $114.15 93 $10,616.04 $10,651.09 +$17.58
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $114.52 93 $10,650.27
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 12:40pm ET $115.64 93 $10,754.33 $10,755.16 +$104.07
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 12:45pm ET $115.69 92 $10,643.60
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 10:15am ET $114.31 92 $10,516.89 $10,628.45 $-126.71
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 10:10am ET $113.60 93 $10,564.80
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:40am ET $114.66 93 $10,663.01 $10,726.66 +$98.21
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:40am ET $116.27 92 $10,696.56
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:00am ET $119.20 92 $10,966.48 $10,996.58 +$269.92
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 10:05am ET $119.04 92 $10,951.31
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 10:35am ET $118.52 92 $10,903.75 $10,949.02 $-47.56
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 10:55am ET $120.75 90 $10,867.86
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $119.40 90 $10,745.91 $10,827.07 $-121.95
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $121.15 89 $10,782.26
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 10:00am ET $118.90 89 $10,581.97 $10,626.78 $-200.29
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 3:45pm ET $120.88 87 $10,516.91
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 10:15am ET $121.38 87 $10,559.65 $10,669.52 +$42.74
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 10:15am ET $123.15 86 $10,590.56
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 10:45am ET $125.69 86 $10,809.51 $10,888.48 +$218.96
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 10:50am ET $125.78 86 $10,817.42
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 12:45pm ET $124.27 86 $10,687.31 $10,758.36 $-130.12
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 10:15am ET $121.18 88 $10,664.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 10:45am ET $122.33 88 $10,765.04 $10,859.40 +$101.04
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 11:55am ET $121.80 89 $10,840.38
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 12:25pm ET $121.91 89 $10,849.90 $10,868.92 +$9.52
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:15am ET $124.35 87 $10,818.62
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:45am ET $127.30 87 $11,074.84 $11,125.13 +$256.21
(+2.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 11:05am ET $127.54 87 $11,095.98
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 11:35am ET $128.38 87 $11,168.80 $11,197.95 +$72.82
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 11:15am ET $129.97 86 $11,177.25
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 11:45am ET $132.92 86 $11,430.86 $11,451.56 +$253.61
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 11:50am ET $132.78 86 $11,418.74
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 12:20pm ET $133.18 86 $11,453.52 $11,486.35 +$34.79
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 2:55pm ET $134.05 85 $11,393.83
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 10:20am ET $132.62 85 $11,273.04 $11,365.57 $-120.78
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 11:45am ET $129.92 87 $11,302.69
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 10:00am ET $128.38 87 $11,169.06 $11,231.94 $-133.63
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 3:15pm ET $128.44 87 $11,174.23
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET $126.70 87 $11,022.90 $11,080.61 $-151.33
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 10:00am ET $126.43 87 $10,999.50
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 10:30am ET $126.29 87 $10,987.58 $11,068.69 $-11.92
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 12:45pm ET $126.59 87 $11,013.16
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 10:00am ET $120.42 87 $10,476.45 $10,531.99 $-536.70
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 10:40am ET $122.24 86 $10,512.31
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 11:10am ET $121.23 86 $10,426.12 $10,445.80 $-86.19
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 10:10am ET $118.66 88 $10,442.08
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 10:40am ET $118.79 88 $10,453.39 $10,457.11 +$11.31
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 2:45pm ET $118.02 88 $10,385.87
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 3:15pm ET $117.16 88 $10,309.68 $10,380.93 $-76.18
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:05am ET $117.21 88 $10,314.17
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 12:45pm ET $115.96 88 $10,204.48 $10,271.24 $-109.69
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 11:10am ET $116.71 88 $10,270.74
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 11:40am ET $117.79 88 $10,365.08 $10,365.58 +$94.34
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:05am ET $119.67 86 $10,291.36
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 10:35am ET $121.10 86 $10,414.37 $10,488.59 +$123.01
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 11:50am ET $121.82 86 $10,476.86
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 12:20pm ET $122.47 86 $10,531.99 $10,543.72 +$55.13
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 10:15am ET $123.31 85 $10,481.61
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 10:45am ET $123.70 85 $10,514.25 $10,576.36 +$32.64
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 10:20am ET $125.08 84 $10,506.49
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 12:45pm ET $123.81 84 $10,399.62 $10,469.49 $-106.87
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 10:20am ET $122.08 85 $10,376.38
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 11:35am ET $120.76 85 $10,264.35 $10,357.46 $-112.03
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:05am ET $122.78 84 $10,313.35
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 10:35am ET $122.07 84 $10,254.05 $10,298.16 $-59.30
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 12:25pm ET $123.09 83 $10,216.14
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 10:00am ET $120.62 83 $10,011.38 $10,093.40 $-204.76
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 1:35pm ET $121.45 83 $10,080.43
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 2:05pm ET $121.47 83 $10,081.60 $10,094.56 +$1.16
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 3:35pm ET $122.13 82 $10,014.58
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 11:25am ET $125.22 82 $10,268.04 $10,348.02 +$253.46
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 11:35am ET $125.31 82 $10,275.67
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 12:05pm ET $124.09 82 $10,175.10 $10,247.46 $-100.56
(-1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 12:10pm ET $126.29 81 $10,229.41
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $124.97 81 $10,122.85 $10,140.90 $-106.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 11:10am ET $119.57 84 $10,043.88
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 11:40am ET $120.45 84 $10,117.38 $10,214.40 +$73.50
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 3:20pm ET $123.19 82 $10,101.91
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 1:30pm ET $121.86 82 $9,992.52 $10,105.01 $-109.39
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $122.48 82 $10,042.95
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 12:35pm ET $122.78 82 $10,067.96 $10,130.02 +$25.01
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET $121.00 83 $10,042.75
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:40am ET $120.63 83 $10,012.29 $10,099.56 $-30.46
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 10:20am ET $122.26 82 $10,024.91
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 12:15pm ET $120.97 82 $9,919.29 $9,993.94 $-105.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET $119.32 83 $9,903.31
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 11:35am ET $120.96 83 $10,039.60 $10,130.23 +$136.29
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 3:45pm ET $121.50 83 $10,084.50
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:15am ET $124.40 83 $10,325.08 $10,370.81 +$240.58
(+2.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:05am ET $122.93 84 $10,326.16
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET $121.30 84 $10,189.20 $10,233.85 $-136.96
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:40am ET $121.97 83 $10,123.36
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 11:10am ET $121.42 83 $10,077.45 $10,187.93 $-45.92
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 10:10am ET $119.27 85 $10,137.53
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:00am ET $122.46 85 $10,409.19 $10,459.59 +$271.66
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 10:50am ET $122.78 85 $10,436.22
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 11:20am ET $123.95 85 $10,535.58 $10,558.95 +$99.36
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 10:10am ET $112.89 93 $10,498.35
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 2:35pm ET $111.76 93 $10,393.31 $10,453.91 $-105.04
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 11:20am ET $108.94 95 $10,349.59
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:50am ET $110.22 95 $10,470.57 $10,574.89 +$120.98
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 11:35am ET $114.24 92 $10,510.08
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 12:05pm ET $115.29 92 $10,606.50 $10,671.31 +$96.42
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET $112.70 94 $10,593.80
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:00am ET $111.42 94 $10,473.48 $10,550.99 $-120.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $106.18 99 $10,511.82
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $104.42 99 $10,337.58 $10,376.75 $-174.24
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:05am ET $107.84 96 $10,352.64
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:30pm ET $108.57 96 $10,422.72 $10,446.83 +$70.08
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:35pm ET $108.71 96 $10,436.15
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:05pm ET $109.50 96 $10,512.00 $10,522.68 +$75.85
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 3:30pm ET $109.70 95 $10,421.03
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $103.13 95 $9,797.82 $9,899.47 $-623.21
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:25am ET $104.67 94 $9,838.98
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:40am ET $102.93 94 $9,674.96 $9,735.45 $-164.02
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:15am ET $94.23 103 $9,705.69
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:45am ET $95.61 103 $9,847.84 $9,877.60 +$142.15
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 11:50am ET $94.52 104 $9,830.06
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET $97.01 104 $10,089.04 $10,136.58 +$258.98
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 11:00am ET $93.59 108 $10,107.72
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 2:25pm ET $94.26 108 $10,179.54 $10,208.40 +$71.82
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:30pm ET $94.28 108 $10,182.24
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:00pm ET $94.27 108 $10,180.62 $10,206.78 $-1.62
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $91.13 112 $10,206.57
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $88.61 112 $9,923.76 $9,923.97 $-282.81
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $85.14 116 $9,875.66
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $84.25 116 $9,772.42 $9,820.73 $-103.24
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:30am ET $85.53 114 $9,750.66
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET $86.11 114 $9,816.54 $9,886.61 +$65.88
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $80.68 122 $9,842.35
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:45am ET $81.56 122 $9,949.71 $9,993.97 +$107.36
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $84.61 118 $9,983.39
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:50am ET $83.66 118 $9,871.88 $9,882.46 $-111.51
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $76.72 128 $9,820.16
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $76.85 128 $9,836.16 $9,898.46 +$16.00
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $101.25 97 $9,820.77
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $96.05 97 $9,317.04 $9,394.74 $-503.72
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,394.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-605.26
Total Return: -6.05%
Back to Surge