Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 17.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,707
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,892.98
Current Value
$11,472.43
Period P&L
$2,579.45
Max Drawdown
-31.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
28 / 43
Best Trade
+16.98%
Worst Trade
-5.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,496,729.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,579.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,579.45
Gross Return
+29.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,892.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $3.94 2,257 $8,892.58
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 12:50pm ET $3.90 2,257 $8,802.30 $8,802.70 $-90.28
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 11:20am ET $3.96 2,225 $8,799.88
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 10:55am ET $4.06 2,225 $9,022.38 $9,025.20 +$222.50
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 11:00am ET $4.07 2,220 $9,024.30
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 11:10am ET $4.02 2,220 $8,924.40 $8,925.30 $-99.90
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 11:15am ET $4.17 2,140 $8,923.80
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 2:40pm ET $4.12 2,140 $8,817.87 $8,819.37 $-105.93
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 10:20am ET $4.02 2,196 $8,816.94
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 10:50am ET $4.02 2,196 $8,822.21 $8,824.64 +$5.27
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:15am ET $3.51 2,517 $8,822.09
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 1:30pm ET $3.60 2,517 $9,048.62 $9,051.17 +$226.53
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 10:25am ET $3.69 2,452 $9,047.88
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 10:45am ET $3.79 2,452 $9,280.82 $9,284.11 +$232.94
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 2:20pm ET $3.77 2,465 $9,280.73
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 2:50pm ET $3.76 2,465 $9,256.08 $9,259.46 $-24.65
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:20am ET $3.59 2,579 $9,258.61
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 11:35am ET $3.55 2,579 $9,155.45 $9,156.30 $-103.16
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 10:40am ET $3.52 2,603 $9,154.23
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 10:00am ET $3.48 2,603 $9,058.44 $9,060.51 $-95.79
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 12:50pm ET $3.47 2,611 $9,059.91
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 1:00pm ET $3.44 2,611 $8,968.79 $8,969.39 $-91.12
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 11:05am ET $3.46 2,589 $8,966.48
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 11:35am ET $3.47 2,589 $8,970.89 $8,973.79 +$4.40
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:15am ET $3.58 2,506 $8,970.98
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 11:05am ET $3.68 2,506 $9,222.08 $9,224.89 +$251.10
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 10:00am ET $3.90 2,365 $9,223.74
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:20am ET $4.04 2,365 $9,542.78 $9,543.93 +$319.04
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 10:00am ET $4.38 2,178 $9,542.25
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 10:00am ET $4.51 2,178 $9,822.78 $9,824.46 +$280.53
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 10:05am ET $4.55 2,161 $9,821.75
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 10:35am ET $4.49 2,161 $9,692.09 $9,694.80 $-129.66
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 10:35am ET $4.67 2,075 $9,690.25
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 10:50am ET $4.62 2,075 $9,586.71 $9,591.26 $-103.54
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 10:25am ET $4.90 1,957 $9,589.30
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 12:10pm ET $5.03 1,957 $9,833.93 $9,835.89 +$244.63
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 10:00am ET $4.91 2,005 $9,834.53
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 10:35am ET $5.07 2,005 $10,162.94 $10,164.31 +$328.42
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 11:00am ET $4.70 2,162 $10,161.40
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 11:30am ET $4.82 2,162 $10,420.62 $10,423.53 +$259.22
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:20am ET $5.04 2,067 $10,419.95
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 10:35am ET $4.96 2,067 $10,247.77 $10,251.35 $-172.18
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 11:15am ET $4.85 2,115 $10,247.18
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $4.79 2,115 $10,130.85 $10,135.03 $-116.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:15am ET $5.05 2,008 $10,130.36
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 10:20am ET $5.18 2,008 $10,401.44 $10,406.11 +$271.08
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 10:20am ET $5.47 1,904 $10,405.36
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 11:35am ET $5.62 1,904 $10,690.96 $10,691.71 +$285.60
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET $6.16 1,737 $10,691.24
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:35am ET $6.32 1,737 $10,969.16 $10,969.63 +$277.92
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 11:25am ET $6.46 1,699 $10,967.05
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 11:45am ET $6.39 1,699 $10,848.12 $10,850.70 $-118.93
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 11:00am ET $6.19 1,752 $10,844.88
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 12:05pm ET $6.13 1,752 $10,731.00 $10,736.82 $-113.88
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 10:15am ET $6.22 1,727 $10,733.31
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 11:05am ET $6.14 1,727 $10,603.61 $10,607.12 $-129.70
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 10:10am ET $6.03 1,758 $10,604.08
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 10:00am ET $5.97 1,758 $10,495.79 $10,498.83 $-108.29
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 12:35pm ET $6.13 1,712 $10,494.56
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 10:00am ET $6.48 1,712 $11,085.20 $11,089.47 +$590.64
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 10:35am ET $6.68 1,660 $11,089.30
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 12:40pm ET $6.86 1,660 $11,387.60 $11,387.77 +$298.30
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 3:35pm ET $7.36 1,548 $11,385.54
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 10:05am ET $7.40 1,548 $11,447.46 $11,449.69 +$61.92
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:00am ET $7.04 1,626 $11,447.04
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 2:15pm ET $6.96 1,626 $11,308.83 $11,311.48 $-138.21
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 10:25am ET $7.21 1,568 $11,308.42
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 12:15pm ET $7.14 1,568 $11,187.68 $11,190.74 $-120.74
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET $7.40 1,513 $11,189.39
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET $7.66 1,513 $11,582.02 $11,583.36 +$392.62
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 3:10pm ET $7.84 1,477 $11,579.68
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 10:00am ET $7.56 1,477 $11,165.09 $11,168.77 $-414.59
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 11:20am ET $7.20 1,552 $11,166.64
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 11:45am ET $7.12 1,552 $11,050.40 $11,052.53 $-116.24
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 10:00am ET $6.72 1,645 $11,046.18
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 10:00am ET $6.63 1,645 $10,898.13 $10,904.48 $-148.05
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 12:00pm ET $6.72 1,623 $10,900.88
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:00am ET $6.91 1,623 $11,218.50 $11,222.10 +$317.62
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 10:35am ET $6.95 1,614 $11,217.30
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET $6.83 1,614 $11,023.30 $11,028.10 $-194.00
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 11:10am ET $7.01 1,574 $11,025.87
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 2:50pm ET $6.93 1,574 $10,907.82 $10,910.05 $-118.05
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 2:15pm ET $7.08 1,542 $10,909.65
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 10:00am ET $7.26 1,542 $11,187.21 $11,187.61 +$277.56
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 10:15am ET $7.31 1,529 $11,182.19
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 10:30am ET $7.22 1,529 $11,039.38 $11,044.80 $-142.81
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 10:55am ET $7.08 1,560 $11,041.21
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $7.26 1,560 $11,317.80 $11,321.39 +$276.59
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET $7.31 1,548 $11,320.68
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 2:35pm ET $7.22 1,548 $11,168.82 $11,169.53 $-151.86
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:05am ET $7.04 1,587 $11,164.55
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:35am ET $6.96 1,587 $11,045.36 $11,050.35 $-119.18
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET $6.15 1,796 $11,044.32
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:55am ET $6.08 1,796 $10,910.70 $10,916.73 $-133.62
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:35pm ET $6.03 1,811 $10,911.28
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $5.92 1,811 $10,717.14 $10,722.59 $-194.14
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET $5.61 1,912 $10,719.82
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $5.80 1,912 $11,089.60 $11,092.37 +$369.78
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 1:35pm ET $5.85 1,897 $11,087.97
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:45pm ET $5.79 1,897 $10,974.15 $10,978.55 $-113.82
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:40pm ET $5.01 2,193 $10,975.97
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:10pm ET $5.07 2,193 $11,107.55 $11,110.13 +$131.58
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 10:00am ET $5.23 2,125 $11,106.74
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:05am ET $5.16 2,125 $10,954.38 $10,957.77 $-152.36
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:45am ET $5.08 2,157 $10,957.56
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 12:45pm ET $5.03 2,157 $10,838.93 $10,839.14 $-118.63
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:50am ET $5.05 2,148 $10,836.66
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $4.96 2,148 $10,643.34 $10,645.82 $-193.32
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET $5.03 2,118 $10,642.95
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $5.18 2,118 $10,978.65 $10,981.52 +$335.70
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:45am ET $5.08 2,161 $10,977.88
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:45am ET $5.02 2,161 $10,851.03 $10,854.67 $-126.85
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $5.03 2,157 $10,849.71
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:05pm ET $5.00 2,157 $10,785.00 $10,789.96 $-64.71
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 10:30am ET $5.09 2,121 $10,785.29
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:35am ET $5.03 2,121 $10,670.11 $10,674.79 $-115.17
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 2:40pm ET $5.31 2,010 $10,673.10
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:00am ET $5.69 2,010 $11,445.14 $11,446.83 +$772.04
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:25am ET $5.78 1,980 $11,444.40
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:35am ET $5.71 1,980 $11,309.17 $11,311.60 $-135.23
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET $4.88 2,317 $11,306.96
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET $4.82 2,317 $11,173.96 $11,178.60 $-133.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $4.64 2,409 $11,177.04
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $4.67 2,409 $11,239.91 $11,241.47 +$62.87
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET $4.65 2,419 $11,238.67
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $4.59 2,419 $11,103.21 $11,106.01 $-135.46
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET $4.89 2,273 $11,103.61
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $4.83 2,273 $10,978.59 $10,981.00 $-125.01
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET $4.87 2,254 $10,976.98
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $4.82 2,254 $10,866.53 $10,870.55 $-110.45
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:10am ET $4.93 2,207 $10,869.48
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET $5.05 2,207 $11,156.38 $11,157.46 +$286.91
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $5.03 2,215 $11,152.52
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $4.98 2,215 $11,030.70 $11,035.64 $-121.82
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:20am ET $5.09 2,168 $11,035.12
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET $5.03 2,168 $10,915.88 $10,916.40 $-119.24
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $5.27 2,071 $10,914.17
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET $6.16 2,071 $12,767.71 $12,769.94 +$1,853.54
(+17.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
70 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $5.63 2,270 $12,768.75
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $5.34 2,270 $12,126.57 $12,127.76 $-642.18
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
71 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $6.29 1,928 $12,123.84
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $5.95 1,928 $11,468.52 $11,472.43 $-655.33
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,472.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,472.43
Total Return: +14.72%
Back to Surge