Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.7/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 45.5/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 44.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,966
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$20,362.19
Current Value
$21,569.13
Period P&L
$1,206.94
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
73
Winners / Losers
28 / 45
Best Trade
+15.29%
Worst Trade
-6.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,871,393.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,206.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,206.94
Gross Return
+5.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 73 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $20,362.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 10:15am ET $112.44 181 $20,351.64
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 10:45am ET $113.38 181 $20,522.23 $20,532.78 +$170.59
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 11:40am ET $114.02 180 $20,523.58
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 2:05pm ET $112.65 180 $20,276.80 $20,286.00 $-246.78
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 10:05am ET $128.44 157 $20,165.08
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:00am ET $132.62 157 $20,820.56 $20,941.48 +$655.48
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 12:30pm ET $135.34 154 $20,842.87
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 10:05am ET $133.85 154 $20,612.13 $20,710.74 $-230.74
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 12:25pm ET $135.22 153 $20,688.14
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 3:25pm ET $133.73 153 $20,460.87 $20,483.47 $-227.27
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 10:15am ET $135.58 151 $20,471.83
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 10:00am ET $133.11 151 $20,099.61 $20,111.26 $-372.21
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 11:10am ET $135.46 148 $20,048.08
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $134.00 148 $19,831.26 $19,894.44 $-216.82
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 3:00pm ET $134.11 148 $19,848.28
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 10:00am ET $130.87 148 $19,368.02 $19,414.18 $-480.26
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 1:00pm ET $131.40 147 $19,315.07
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 10:00am ET $134.74 147 $19,806.78 $19,905.90 +$491.72
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 10:20am ET $135.25 147 $19,881.02
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 10:50am ET $135.20 147 $19,873.67 $19,898.55 $-7.35
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 2:00pm ET $136.75 145 $19,828.78
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 3:50pm ET $135.23 145 $19,607.90 $19,677.67 $-220.88
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:00am ET $141.04 139 $19,604.56
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 10:30am ET $141.10 139 $19,612.21 $19,685.32 +$7.65
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 11:40am ET $143.84 136 $19,561.56
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 12:35pm ET $142.28 136 $19,349.40 $19,473.16 $-212.16
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 2:55pm ET $143.91 135 $19,427.86
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 2:15pm ET $142.41 135 $19,224.68 $19,269.97 $-203.19
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 10:35am ET $144.53 133 $19,221.83
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:00am ET $142.84 133 $18,997.72 $19,045.86 $-224.11
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 11:00am ET $145.34 131 $19,038.89
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 11:30am ET $144.40 131 $18,916.40 $18,923.37 $-122.49
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 10:20am ET $145.18 130 $18,873.19
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 10:45am ET $143.58 130 $18,665.40 $18,715.58 $-207.79
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 1:25pm ET $144.41 129 $18,628.35
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 1:55pm ET $147.46 129 $19,021.70 $19,108.93 +$393.35
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 10:35am ET $152.54 125 $19,066.88
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:25am ET $156.45 125 $19,556.08 $19,598.13 +$489.20
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 10:40am ET $157.62 124 $19,544.47
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 2:45pm ET $155.89 124 $19,329.79 $19,383.45 $-214.68
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 10:20am ET $155.77 124 $19,315.48
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:10am ET $159.67 124 $19,799.07 $19,867.04 +$483.59
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 10:15am ET $159.94 124 $19,831.99
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 10:05am ET $158.20 124 $19,616.80 $19,651.85 $-215.19
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 10:25am ET $167.36 117 $19,581.11
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 2:10pm ET $165.62 117 $19,377.55 $19,448.29 $-203.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 2:20pm ET $171.08 113 $19,332.58
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 2:50pm ET $173.48 113 $19,603.24 $19,718.95 +$270.66
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 3:20pm ET $176.07 111 $19,543.22
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 3:50pm ET $175.75 111 $19,508.25 $19,683.99 $-34.96
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 10:40am ET $178.76 110 $19,663.05
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 11:10am ET $179.10 110 $19,701.00 $19,721.94 +$37.95
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:20am ET $174.91 112 $19,589.93
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 1:25pm ET $173.11 112 $19,388.31 $19,520.32 $-201.62
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 10:15am ET $177.94 109 $19,394.99
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET $176.02 109 $19,185.64 $19,310.96 $-209.36
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 3:15pm ET $179.45 107 $19,201.15
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 3:45pm ET $179.96 107 $19,255.71 $19,365.52 +$54.56
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 12:05pm ET $183.65 105 $19,282.73
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $181.80 105 $19,088.85 $19,171.65 $-193.87
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $176.40 108 $19,051.20
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $179.00 108 $19,331.62 $19,452.07 +$280.42
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:35am ET $179.50 108 $19,385.46
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 11:05am ET $181.13 108 $19,561.75 $19,628.36 +$176.29
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 12:15pm ET $181.88 107 $19,460.63
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 12:45pm ET $181.91 107 $19,464.13 $19,631.87 +$3.51
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 10:45am ET $172.25 113 $19,464.25
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 1:40pm ET $170.51 113 $19,267.07 $19,434.68 $-197.19
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 3:25pm ET $170.24 114 $19,407.36
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 10:00am ET $177.36 114 $20,219.04 $20,246.36 +$811.68
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 11:35am ET $177.29 114 $20,210.49
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 11:55am ET $175.32 114 $19,986.34 $20,022.21 $-224.15
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 11:10am ET $175.93 113 $19,880.09
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 11:40am ET $176.17 113 $19,906.65 $20,048.76 +$26.55
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 12:00pm ET $177.24 113 $20,027.56
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 12:20pm ET $181.79 113 $20,542.27 $20,563.47 +$514.71
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET $176.27 116 $20,447.32
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:30am ET $175.51 116 $20,359.16 $20,475.31 $-88.16
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:00am ET $184.69 110 $20,315.90
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET $187.18 110 $20,589.80 $20,749.21 +$273.90
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:35am ET $187.34 110 $20,607.40
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 11:05am ET $189.46 110 $20,840.60 $20,982.41 +$233.20
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:25am ET $195.25 107 $20,891.75
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $191.92 107 $20,535.44 $20,626.10 $-356.31
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 10:40am ET $183.17 112 $20,514.48
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 12:15pm ET $181.21 112 $20,295.52 $20,407.14 $-218.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 10:20am ET $183.40 111 $20,357.40
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 10:55am ET $181.25 111 $20,118.75 $20,168.49 $-238.65
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 10:20am ET $184.35 109 $20,094.14
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET $180.47 109 $19,670.69 $19,745.04 $-423.45
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 10:55am ET $182.30 108 $19,687.86
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 11:25am ET $185.19 108 $20,000.52 $20,057.70 +$312.66
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:05pm ET $186.68 107 $19,974.75
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 12:55pm ET $191.47 107 $20,487.74 $20,570.69 +$512.99
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 1:35pm ET $196.15 104 $20,399.45
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 3:05pm ET $201.57 104 $20,963.37 $21,134.61 +$563.92
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 12:30pm ET $210.15 100 $21,015.00
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 2:20pm ET $207.98 100 $20,798.00 $20,917.61 $-217.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:40am ET $201.06 104 $20,910.24
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:30pm ET $198.96 104 $20,691.32 $20,698.69 $-218.92
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $186.59 110 $20,524.94
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET $195.29 110 $21,481.86 $21,655.60 +$956.91
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:20am ET $196.48 110 $21,612.79
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:20am ET $194.51 110 $21,395.55 $21,438.36 $-217.24
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:45am ET $188.84 113 $21,339.42
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET $186.62 113 $21,088.06 $21,187.00 $-251.36
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET $183.72 115 $21,127.80
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:50pm ET $181.16 115 $20,833.39 $20,892.59 $-294.41
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 11:10am ET $181.49 115 $20,871.01
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $169.90 115 $19,538.45 $19,560.04 $-1,332.55
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 12:20pm ET $175.91 111 $19,525.46
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:35pm ET $173.95 111 $19,307.90 $19,342.48 $-217.56
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:35am ET $179.82 107 $19,240.74
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $185.12 107 $19,807.84 $19,909.58 +$567.10
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:55am ET $184.24 108 $19,897.92
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET $182.17 108 $19,674.36 $19,686.02 $-223.56
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $187.46 105 $19,682.78
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $185.33 105 $19,459.65 $19,462.89 $-223.13
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:30pm ET $181.03 107 $19,370.21
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $177.24 107 $18,964.68 $19,057.36 $-405.53
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:35pm ET $177.90 107 $19,035.29
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET $174.12 107 $18,630.85 $18,652.92 $-404.44
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:35am ET $175.93 106 $18,648.75
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:15pm ET $174.17 106 $18,461.49 $18,465.66 $-187.26
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $180.99 102 $18,460.98
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:25am ET $185.28 102 $18,898.05 $18,902.73 +$437.07
(+2.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:35am ET $185.59 101 $18,744.09
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 11:05am ET $187.50 101 $18,937.00 $19,095.64 +$192.91
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET $191.20 99 $18,928.31
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:35am ET $189.22 99 $18,732.29 $18,899.62 $-196.02
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $186.78 101 $18,864.79
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $184.89 101 $18,673.89 $18,708.72 $-190.90
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET $185.70 100 $18,570.10
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $180.97 100 $18,097.46 $18,236.08 $-472.64
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET $181.94 100 $18,194.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $179.78 100 $17,977.50 $18,019.58 $-216.50
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET $188.53 95 $17,910.35
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:35am ET $191.37 95 $18,179.68 $18,288.91 +$269.33
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
70 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:45am ET $194.37 94 $18,270.31
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:15am ET $192.35 94 $18,080.90 $18,099.50 $-189.41
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
71 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET $189.04 95 $17,958.33
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $187.06 95 $17,770.70 $17,911.87 $-187.63
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
72 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:25am ET $182.65 98 $17,899.70
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $190.88 98 $18,706.24 $18,718.41 +$806.54
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
73 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 101 $18,644.60
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $212.82 101 $21,495.32 $21,569.13 +$2,850.72
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,569.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,569.13
Total Return: +115.69%
Back to Surge