Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:00:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 6.3/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 5.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,330
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,410.41
Current Value
$9,696.03
Period P&L
$285.62
Max Drawdown
-26.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
29 / 41
Best Trade
+15.19%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,234,474.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$285.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$285.62
Gross Return
+3.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,410.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 10:45am ET $189.81 50 $9,490.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 10:00am ET $186.92 50 $9,345.75 $9,424.16 $-144.75
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 10:15am ET $188.28 50 $9,414.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 10:45am ET $186.88 50 $9,344.01 $9,354.16 $-70.00
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 11:45am ET $188.64 49 $9,243.56
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 10:25am ET $186.72 49 $9,149.04 $9,259.64 $-94.52
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 1:15pm ET $192.20 48 $9,225.36
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:45pm ET $193.81 48 $9,303.02 $9,337.30 +$77.66
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:55am ET $193.20 48 $9,273.60
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 11:25am ET $192.41 48 $9,235.44 $9,299.14 $-38.16
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 1:00pm ET $193.87 47 $9,111.66
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 1:30pm ET $194.06 47 $9,120.82 $9,308.30 +$9.16
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 2:55pm ET $187.01 49 $9,163.49
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 10:00am ET $184.36 49 $9,033.64 $9,178.45 $-129.85
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 10:20am ET $186.24 49 $9,125.76
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 10:50am ET $188.27 49 $9,225.23 $9,277.92 +$99.47
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 10:05am ET $189.58 48 $9,099.84
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:35am ET $193.27 48 $9,276.96 $9,455.04 +$177.12
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 12:15pm ET $197.53 47 $9,283.91
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 12:00pm ET $195.46 47 $9,186.39 $9,357.52 $-97.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 10:20am ET $197.08 47 $9,262.53
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 10:50am ET $200.19 47 $9,408.70 $9,503.69 +$146.17
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 10:55am ET $196.66 48 $9,439.69
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 2:00pm ET $194.64 48 $9,342.72 $9,406.72 $-96.97
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 12:45pm ET $198.82 47 $9,344.45
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:20am ET $196.74 47 $9,246.78 $9,309.05 $-97.67
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 10:15am ET $200.14 46 $9,206.44
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 10:45am ET $200.32 46 $9,214.72 $9,317.33 +$8.28
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:10am ET $201.47 46 $9,267.39
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:40am ET $203.82 46 $9,375.72 $9,425.66 +$108.33
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 12:50pm ET $203.89 46 $9,378.71
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 10:00am ET $201.66 46 $9,276.36 $9,323.31 $-102.35
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 10:55am ET $197.75 47 $9,294.25
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:15am ET $202.77 47 $9,530.19 $9,559.25 +$235.94
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 10:20am ET $202.59 47 $9,521.73
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 1:45pm ET $200.44 47 $9,420.65 $9,458.17 $-101.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:05am ET $203.35 46 $9,354.10
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 11:05am ET $201.11 46 $9,251.06 $9,355.13 $-103.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 10:50am ET $189.90 49 $9,305.10
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 11:20am ET $192.41 49 $9,427.85 $9,477.88 +$122.75
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 10:40am ET $195.31 48 $9,374.88
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 11:10am ET $196.01 48 $9,408.48 $9,511.48 +$33.60
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 10:05am ET $200.79 47 $9,437.13
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 2:10pm ET $197.17 47 $9,266.99 $9,341.34 $-170.14
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $198.52 47 $9,330.44
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $199.53 47 $9,377.91 $9,388.81 +$47.47
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 3:35pm ET $201.19 46 $9,254.74
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 10:05am ET $204.38 46 $9,401.48 $9,535.55 +$146.74
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 10:50am ET $182.65 52 $9,497.80
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:00am ET $176.55 52 $9,180.60 $9,218.35 $-317.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 11:45am ET $173.73 53 $9,207.69
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 10:40am ET $171.87 53 $9,109.11 $9,119.77 $-98.58
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 2:10pm ET $171.40 53 $9,083.94
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 10:00am ET $168.89 53 $8,951.17 $8,987.00 $-132.77
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 11:20am ET $174.04 51 $8,876.03
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 11:50am ET $176.93 51 $9,023.18 $9,134.14 +$147.14
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 1:00pm ET $175.88 51 $8,969.88
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 1:30pm ET $176.15 51 $8,983.40 $9,147.66 +$13.52
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 12:25pm ET $187.27 48 $8,988.96
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 2:00pm ET $184.93 48 $8,876.40 $9,035.10 $-112.56
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $185.89 48 $8,922.72
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET $182.73 48 $8,771.04 $8,883.42 $-151.68
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 10:10am ET $186.75 47 $8,777.25
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 10:40am ET $189.25 47 $8,894.75 $9,000.92 +$117.50
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 1:05pm ET $190.45 47 $8,951.05
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 1:35pm ET $190.67 47 $8,961.49 $9,011.36 +$10.44
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 11:20am ET $192.26 46 $8,843.96
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 11:50am ET $193.26 46 $8,889.96 $9,057.36 +$46.00
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 10:45am ET $197.51 45 $8,887.95
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 11:15am ET $197.45 45 $8,885.25 $9,054.66 $-2.70
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 10:00am ET $201.65 44 $8,872.38
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 1:20pm ET $199.48 44 $8,777.12 $8,959.40 $-95.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 1:45pm ET $208.55 42 $8,759.10
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 10:30am ET $206.08 42 $8,655.36 $8,855.66 $-103.74
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 11:45am ET $203.21 43 $8,737.82
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:10am ET $200.89 43 $8,638.06 $8,755.90 $-99.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 3:30pm ET $205.71 42 $8,640.00
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 10:00am ET $208.40 42 $8,752.80 $8,868.70 +$112.80
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 2:00pm ET $213.63 41 $8,758.92
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 10:00am ET $210.97 41 $8,649.81 $8,759.59 $-109.11
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 11:50am ET $216.62 40 $8,664.80
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 12:20pm ET $216.43 40 $8,657.00 $8,751.79 $-7.80
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 10:45am ET $209.81 41 $8,602.01
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $206.94 41 $8,484.54 $8,634.32 $-117.47
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 12:00pm ET $207.58 41 $8,510.78
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 12:30pm ET $211.69 41 $8,679.09 $8,802.63 +$168.31
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:15am ET $214.04 41 $8,775.64
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:35am ET $211.56 41 $8,673.96 $8,700.95 $-101.68
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:20am ET $221.16 39 $8,625.24
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:00pm ET $218.93 39 $8,538.08 $8,613.79 $-87.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 3:05pm ET $212.46 40 $8,498.40
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET $208.47 40 $8,338.80 $8,454.19 $-159.60
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $212.08 39 $8,271.12
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:10pm ET $216.18 39 $8,430.83 $8,613.90 +$159.71
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 3:20pm ET $216.15 39 $8,429.81
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $218.71 39 $8,529.69 $8,713.78 +$99.88
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET $203.78 42 $8,558.55
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET $204.46 42 $8,587.32 $8,742.55 +$28.77
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:25am ET $201.99 43 $8,685.36
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $199.93 43 $8,596.95 $8,654.14 $-88.41
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:35am ET $185.16 46 $8,517.36
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 12:05pm ET $185.30 46 $8,523.57 $8,660.35 +$6.21
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:10am ET $190.73 45 $8,582.85
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET $187.85 45 $8,453.25 $8,530.75 $-129.60
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 12:10pm ET $191.53 44 $8,427.32
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $189.34 44 $8,330.96 $8,434.39 $-96.36
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:40am ET $190.99 44 $8,403.56
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:10am ET $194.43 44 $8,554.92 $8,585.75 +$151.36
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:10am ET $199.29 43 $8,569.47
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:30am ET $197.14 43 $8,477.02 $8,493.30 $-92.45
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 11:55am ET $188.20 45 $8,469.00
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:50pm ET $186.21 45 $8,379.45 $8,403.75 $-89.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:10am ET $190.00 44 $8,360.00
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $187.63 44 $8,255.72 $8,299.47 $-104.28
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:25am ET $188.19 44 $8,280.36
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 11:55am ET $186.79 44 $8,218.76 $8,237.87 $-61.60
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $185.32 44 $8,153.86
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $183.43 44 $8,070.70 $8,154.71 $-83.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:20am ET $184.80 44 $8,131.20
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $190.06 44 $8,362.64 $8,386.15 +$231.44
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET $191.05 43 $8,215.15
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $195.87 43 $8,422.58 $8,593.58 +$207.43
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET $193.96 44 $8,534.24
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET $191.84 44 $8,440.96 $8,500.30 $-93.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:45am ET $189.05 44 $8,318.20
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $183.80 44 $8,086.98 $8,269.08 $-231.22
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $186.37 44 $8,200.06
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $184.43 44 $8,114.70 $8,183.72 $-85.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET $183.50 44 $8,073.78
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:45am ET $183.06 44 $8,054.64 $8,164.58 $-19.14
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET $177.77 45 $7,999.43
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET $176.80 45 $7,956.00 $8,121.16 $-43.42
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET $165.80 48 $7,958.40
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $163.52 48 $7,848.96 $8,011.72 $-109.44
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $158.50 50 $7,925.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $162.61 50 $8,130.51 $8,217.23 +$205.51
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $162.40 50 $8,120.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $166.66 50 $8,332.98 $8,430.21 +$212.98
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
70 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $151.53 55 $8,334.15
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $174.54 55 $9,599.97 $9,696.03 +$1,265.82
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,696.03
Net Profit/Loss: $-303.97
Total Return: -3.04%
Back to Surge