Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:18:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 21.1/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 15.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,655
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,954.60
Current Value
$10,985.71
Period P&L
$1,031.11
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
29 / 31
Best Trade
+6.88%
Worst Trade
-1.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,245,498.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,031.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,031.11
Gross Return
+10.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,954.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 12:55pm ET $131.80 75 $9,885.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $132.15 75 $9,911.25 $9,980.85 +$26.25
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 11:10am ET $130.65 76 $9,929.40
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 11:40am ET $131.33 76 $9,981.08 $10,032.53 +$51.68
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 2:05pm ET $130.85 76 $9,944.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 2:35pm ET $130.78 76 $9,939.05 $10,026.98 $-5.55
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 11:35am ET $131.43 76 $9,988.68
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 12:05pm ET $132.46 76 $10,066.96 $10,105.26 +$78.28
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 12:20pm ET $131.33 76 $9,981.08
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 10:40am ET $129.99 76 $9,879.05 $10,003.23 $-102.03
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 10:05am ET $131.24 76 $9,974.47
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:35am ET $132.47 76 $10,067.34 $10,096.10 +$92.87
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 3:20pm ET $130.84 77 $10,074.30
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 10:00am ET $129.48 77 $9,969.96 $9,991.76 $-104.34
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 11:55am ET $130.62 76 $9,927.12
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 12:25pm ET $131.69 76 $10,008.44 $10,073.08 +$81.32
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $132.28 76 $10,053.28
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $135.68 76 $10,311.30 $10,331.10 +$258.02
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:10am ET $135.86 76 $10,325.36
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 1:05pm ET $134.50 76 $10,222.00 $10,227.74 $-103.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 11:40am ET $136.69 74 $10,115.13
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 11:25am ET $135.24 74 $10,007.76 $10,120.37 $-107.37
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:30am ET $135.28 74 $10,010.72
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 10:45am ET $133.79 74 $9,900.46 $10,010.11 $-110.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:05am ET $135.62 73 $9,900.26
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:35am ET $134.90 73 $9,847.70 $9,957.55 $-52.56
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 12:50pm ET $135.64 73 $9,901.36
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 10:50am ET $134.13 73 $9,791.49 $9,847.68 $-109.87
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 3:45pm ET $135.26 72 $9,738.72
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 10:00am ET $144.56 72 $10,408.32 $10,517.28 +$669.60
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 2:55pm ET $145.80 72 $10,497.60
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 10:55am ET $144.17 72 $10,380.45 $10,400.13 $-117.15
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 11:00am ET $142.97 72 $10,293.84
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 11:30am ET $144.13 72 $10,377.00 $10,483.29 +$83.16
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 2:45pm ET $140.13 74 $10,369.62
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $139.67 74 $10,335.58 $10,449.25 $-34.04
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 10:40am ET $140.79 74 $10,418.09
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 11:10am ET $141.96 74 $10,505.04 $10,536.20 +$86.95
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 11:15am ET $142.00 74 $10,507.63
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 11:45am ET $144.60 74 $10,700.03 $10,728.60 +$192.40
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $145.34 73 $10,609.46
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 10:50am ET $143.81 73 $10,497.77 $10,616.91 $-111.69
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:10am ET $146.23 72 $10,528.56
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:40am ET $147.76 72 $10,638.73 $10,727.08 +$110.17
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 11:10am ET $148.77 72 $10,711.26
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 11:40am ET $148.99 72 $10,727.28 $10,743.10 +$16.02
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 11:00am ET $150.33 71 $10,673.08
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 11:30am ET $149.34 71 $10,603.14 $10,673.17 $-69.93
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 3:05pm ET $152.12 70 $10,648.40
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 1:35pm ET $149.36 70 $10,455.20 $10,479.97 $-193.20
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $147.65 70 $10,335.50
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 10:25am ET $148.53 70 $10,397.10 $10,541.57 +$61.60
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 2:45pm ET $149.00 70 $10,430.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 10:00am ET $153.85 70 $10,769.50 $10,881.07 +$339.50
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 11:00am ET $147.84 73 $10,791.96
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 1:10pm ET $146.35 73 $10,683.66 $10,772.77 $-108.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 10:20am ET $143.37 75 $10,752.75
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 10:05am ET $141.84 75 $10,637.63 $10,657.64 $-115.13
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 3:35pm ET $141.91 75 $10,643.25
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 10:00am ET $140.44 75 $10,532.96 $10,547.35 $-110.29
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $141.77 74 $10,490.98
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 2:05pm ET $142.16 74 $10,519.84 $10,576.21 +$28.86
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 12:10pm ET $141.92 74 $10,501.71
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 12:40pm ET $141.63 74 $10,480.62 $10,555.12 $-21.09
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:00am ET $140.93 74 $10,428.82
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 10:30am ET $139.35 74 $10,311.90 $10,438.20 $-116.92
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 11:10am ET $142.41 73 $10,395.93
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:00am ET $149.15 73 $10,887.95 $10,930.22 +$492.02
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:35am ET $149.88 72 $10,791.36
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 10:25am ET $148.17 72 $10,668.24 $10,807.10 $-123.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:30am ET $150.62 71 $10,693.67
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 11:00am ET $150.00 71 $10,650.00 $10,763.43 $-43.67
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 11:10am ET $154.21 69 $10,640.49
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 12:45pm ET $152.65 69 $10,532.85 $10,655.79 $-107.64
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $154.67 68 $10,517.56
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 3:40pm ET $153.12 68 $10,412.16 $10,550.39 $-105.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 3:40pm ET $152.65 69 $10,532.85
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 1:30pm ET $150.90 69 $10,412.10 $10,429.64 $-120.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:00am ET $144.27 72 $10,387.44
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:30am ET $145.02 72 $10,441.08 $10,483.28 +$53.64
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 11:55am ET $145.80 71 $10,351.83
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:00am ET $144.27 71 $10,243.35 $10,374.80 $-108.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:15am ET $147.39 70 $10,317.30
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:45am ET $148.72 70 $10,410.40 $10,467.90 +$93.10
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET $147.32 71 $10,459.72
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $145.14 71 $10,304.94 $10,313.12 $-154.78
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 10:20am ET $147.74 69 $10,194.06
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:50am ET $147.92 69 $10,206.48 $10,325.54 +$12.42
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 10:50am ET $146.36 70 $10,245.20
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:05am ET $144.71 70 $10,129.35 $10,209.69 $-115.85
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:30am ET $149.01 68 $10,132.68
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 12:00pm ET $149.24 68 $10,148.32 $10,225.33 +$15.64
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:30am ET $150.21 68 $10,213.94
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 12:00pm ET $150.49 68 $10,233.32 $10,244.71 +$19.38
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $139.26 73 $10,165.86
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $140.01 73 $10,220.73 $10,299.58 +$54.87
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET $140.85 73 $10,282.05
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $141.87 73 $10,356.15 $10,373.68 +$74.10
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $142.80 72 $10,281.60
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $145.84 72 $10,500.48 $10,592.56 +$218.88
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $146.87 72 $10,574.28
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $145.88 72 $10,503.36 $10,521.64 $-70.92
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $147.26 71 $10,455.11
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET $145.66 71 $10,341.86 $10,408.39 $-113.25
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 2:05pm ET $145.56 71 $10,334.76
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $148.24 71 $10,525.04 $10,598.67 +$190.28
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $148.18 71 $10,520.78
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $148.25 71 $10,525.75 $10,603.64 +$4.97
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 11:00am ET $150.61 70 $10,542.70
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:45pm ET $149.07 70 $10,434.55 $10,495.49 $-108.15
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET $149.99 69 $10,349.31
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $153.92 69 $10,620.48 $10,766.66 +$271.17
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET $155.44 69 $10,725.36
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $160.64 69 $11,084.16 $11,125.46 +$358.80
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET $162.39 68 $11,042.52
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $160.57 68 $10,918.42 $11,001.36 $-124.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $167.88 65 $10,911.88
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET $166.00 65 $10,790.00 $10,879.48 $-121.88
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $168.62 64 $10,791.68
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET $170.28 64 $10,897.91 $10,985.71 +$106.23
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,985.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$985.71
Total Return: +9.86%
Back to Surge