Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:50

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 6.9/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
37,945
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,993.82
Current Value
$9,516.74
Period P&L
$-477.08
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
29 / 35
Best Trade
+2.69%
Worst Trade
-2.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,255,676.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-477.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-477.08
Gross Return
-4.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,993.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 10:25am ET $22.96 435 $9,985.43
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 10:00am ET $22.56 435 $9,813.60 $9,821.99 $-171.83
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 12:50pm ET $23.10 425 $9,817.50
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:00am ET $22.71 425 $9,649.63 $9,654.11 $-167.88
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:35am ET $22.37 431 $9,641.47
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 11:05am ET $22.64 431 $9,756.76 $9,769.40 +$115.29
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 3:05pm ET $22.79 428 $9,751.98
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 3:35pm ET $22.98 428 $9,833.30 $9,850.72 +$81.32
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 2:15pm ET $23.14 425 $9,832.38
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 2:45pm ET $23.30 425 $9,900.38 $9,918.72 +$68.00
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 2:50pm ET $23.32 425 $9,908.88
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 3:20pm ET $23.63 425 $10,042.75 $10,052.59 +$133.87
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 11:30am ET $23.98 419 $10,047.62
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $24.30 419 $10,179.61 $10,184.58 +$131.99
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 12:05pm ET $24.31 419 $10,183.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 12:35pm ET $24.52 419 $10,271.79 $10,272.57 +$87.99
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 10:35am ET $24.85 413 $10,260.99
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 11:05am ET $24.75 413 $10,219.69 $10,231.27 $-41.30
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 12:10pm ET $24.30 421 $10,228.20
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 12:40pm ET $24.31 421 $10,234.51 $10,237.58 +$6.31
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:20am ET $24.64 415 $10,224.44
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:50am ET $25.26 415 $10,480.83 $10,493.97 +$256.39
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 12:15pm ET $25.51 411 $10,482.56
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 11:50am ET $25.23 411 $10,371.54 $10,382.96 $-111.01
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:15am ET $25.68 404 $10,372.82
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $25.34 404 $10,238.69 $10,248.83 $-134.13
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:10am ET $25.92 395 $10,236.43
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:00am ET $25.60 395 $10,110.03 $10,122.43 $-126.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 11:55am ET $24.76 408 $10,102.08
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $24.50 408 $9,993.96 $10,014.31 $-108.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 2:50pm ET $25.03 400 $10,010.00
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 3:20pm ET $25.31 400 $10,124.00 $10,128.31 +$114.00
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:45am ET $23.80 425 $10,112.88
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 2:00pm ET $23.53 425 $10,000.25 $10,015.68 $-112.63
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:50am ET $24.78 404 $10,010.51
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 11:05am ET $24.53 404 $9,910.12 $9,915.29 $-100.39
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 12:30pm ET $24.41 406 $9,908.43
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $24.45 406 $9,924.67 $9,931.53 +$16.24
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 2:25pm ET $24.51 405 $9,926.55
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $24.63 405 $9,975.11 $9,980.09 +$48.56
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 3:20pm ET $25.18 396 $9,969.30
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 3:50pm ET $25.17 396 $9,968.55 $9,979.34 $-0.75
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 10:15am ET $25.70 388 $9,971.60
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:45am ET $25.94 388 $10,062.78 $10,070.52 +$91.18
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $24.80 406 $10,066.77
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 10:00am ET $24.47 406 $9,932.79 $9,936.54 $-133.98
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 11:45am ET $24.82 400 $9,926.00
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 10:50am ET $24.56 400 $9,825.24 $9,835.78 $-100.76
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 10:35am ET $24.36 403 $9,817.08
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 12:50pm ET $24.11 403 $9,715.16 $9,733.86 $-101.92
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 12:35pm ET $24.17 402 $9,716.34
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 11:15am ET $23.90 402 $9,605.79 $9,623.31 $-110.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 11:15am ET $24.30 395 $9,600.44
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 10:00am ET $24.06 395 $9,503.70 $9,526.57 $-96.74
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:15am ET $24.77 384 $9,511.68
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 10:35am ET $24.51 384 $9,409.92 $9,424.81 $-101.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:15am ET $26.42 356 $9,403.74
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 12:45pm ET $27.09 356 $9,644.04 $9,665.11 +$240.30
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:00am ET $27.43 352 $9,655.92
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET $26.97 352 $9,491.68 $9,500.87 $-164.24
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 3:10pm ET $24.53 387 $9,491.76
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 3:40pm ET $24.62 387 $9,526.01 $9,535.12 +$34.25
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 12:45pm ET $24.91 382 $9,515.58
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:15pm ET $24.75 382 $9,452.59 $9,472.13 $-62.99
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:20am ET $24.54 385 $9,447.90
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 11:50am ET $24.60 385 $9,469.08 $9,493.30 +$21.17
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:00pm ET $24.63 385 $9,480.63
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:30pm ET $24.92 385 $9,592.28 $9,604.95 +$111.65
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 3:35pm ET $24.92 385 $9,594.20
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET $24.49 385 $9,428.65 $9,439.40 $-165.55
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:35am ET $24.89 379 $9,431.45
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $25.51 379 $9,668.29 $9,676.24 +$236.84
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 11:25am ET $25.70 376 $9,661.32
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $26.39 376 $9,920.76 $9,935.68 +$259.44
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:15am ET $25.47 390 $9,934.82
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:55pm ET $25.20 390 $9,826.05 $9,826.91 $-108.77
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET $25.44 386 $9,817.91
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:45am ET $25.17 386 $9,717.20 $9,726.20 $-100.71
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $25.11 387 $9,717.57
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET $25.39 387 $9,824.00 $9,832.63 +$106.43
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 11:15am ET $25.40 387 $9,827.87
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:45am ET $25.66 387 $9,928.49 $9,933.25 +$100.62
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:45am ET $25.92 383 $9,927.36
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 11:15am ET $26.11 383 $10,001.85 $10,007.74 +$74.49
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 12:55pm ET $26.18 382 $10,000.76
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 2:20pm ET $25.92 382 $9,899.53 $9,906.51 $-101.23
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 10:50am ET $25.59 387 $9,901.40
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:20am ET $25.98 387 $10,054.26 $10,059.38 +$152.87
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:30am ET $26.01 386 $10,037.93
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:10pm ET $25.70 386 $9,920.32 $9,941.77 $-117.61
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:10am ET $26.04 381 $9,919.34
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:50am ET $25.75 381 $9,810.75 $9,833.18 $-108.59
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:30pm ET $26.44 371 $9,809.24
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $25.70 371 $9,534.03 $9,557.97 $-275.21
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET $25.28 378 $9,555.84
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:40am ET $25.25 378 $9,544.50 $9,546.63 $-11.34
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $25.08 380 $9,528.50
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:20am ET $25.08 380 $9,530.40 $9,548.53 +$1.90
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET $25.55 373 $9,528.29
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.43 373 $9,485.39 $9,505.63 $-42.90
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $25.69 370 $9,503.45
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $25.63 370 $9,481.25 $9,483.43 $-22.20
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $25.62 370 $9,477.55
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $25.51 370 $9,436.85 $9,442.73 $-40.70
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $25.70 367 $9,431.90
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $26.07 367 $9,565.86 $9,576.69 +$133.96
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:25am ET $25.83 370 $9,555.25
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:30am ET $26.49 370 $9,799.45 $9,820.89 +$244.20
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:35am ET $26.57 369 $9,802.49
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $26.10 369 $9,629.06 $9,647.46 $-173.43
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $26.21 368 $9,643.44
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:20pm ET $26.41 368 $9,718.88 $9,722.90 +$75.44
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $26.43 367 $9,697.98
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.65 367 $9,780.55 $9,805.47 +$82.57
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:30am ET $26.06 376 $9,797.62
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.80 376 $9,698.92 $9,706.77 $-98.70
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET $26.52 365 $9,681.62
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:00am ET $26.88 365 $9,809.38 $9,834.52 +$127.75
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $27.22 361 $9,824.62
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:10am ET $26.91 361 $9,712.71 $9,722.61 $-111.91
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $27.52 353 $9,716.32
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:45am ET $27.84 353 $9,829.28 $9,835.57 +$112.96
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:50am ET $27.88 352 $9,812.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET $27.56 352 $9,699.36 $9,722.93 $-112.64
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET $27.83 349 $9,712.70
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.53 349 $9,609.71 $9,619.94 $-102.99
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:15am ET $27.92 344 $9,606.20
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.63 344 $9,503.00 $9,516.74 $-103.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,516.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-483.26
Total Return: -4.83%
Back to Surge