PG Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 47 trades in period
-10.59%
Last Year Return
$9,103.02
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$10,181.67
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
7
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
9.6/100
× Confidence 0.75
= 7.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,058
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,181.67
Current Value
$9,103.02
Period P&L
$-1,078.66
Max Drawdown
-18.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
20 /
27
Best Trade
+1.86%
Worst Trade
-5.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$901,234.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,078.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,078.66
Gross Return
-10.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.59%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,181.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $159.19 | 63 | $10,029.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 11:00am ET | $158.94 | 63 | $10,013.22 | $10,165.79 |
$-15.88 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 1:00pm ET | $160.00 | 63 | $10,079.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $159.55 | 63 | $10,051.65 | $10,137.76 |
$-28.03 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 12:40pm ET | $160.43 | 63 | $10,107.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 11:00am ET | $158.79 | 63 | $10,003.77 | $10,034.44 |
$-103.32 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 10:10am ET | $160.77 | 62 | $9,967.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 10:40am ET | $162.78 | 62 | $10,092.36 | $10,159.06 |
+$124.62 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 10:30am ET | $164.78 | 61 | $10,051.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $165.59 | 61 | $10,100.99 | $10,208.77 |
+$49.71 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 1:10pm ET | $165.91 | 61 | $10,120.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 1:40pm ET | $166.88 | 61 | $10,179.68 | $10,267.90 |
+$59.13 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 1:15pm ET | $170.21 | 60 | $10,212.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $167.22 | 60 | $10,033.20 | $10,088.50 |
$-179.40 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 10:35am ET | $167.65 | 60 | $10,058.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $165.96 | 60 | $9,957.60 | $9,987.40 |
$-101.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 3:05pm ET | $160.58 | 62 | $9,955.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:35pm ET | $160.38 | 62 | $9,943.81 | $9,975.25 |
$-12.15 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 12:25pm ET | $159.90 | 62 | $9,913.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 12:55pm ET | $158.87 | 62 | $9,849.94 | $9,911.39 |
$-63.86 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:35am ET | $161.00 | 61 | $9,821.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $160.22 | 61 | $9,773.42 | $9,863.81 |
$-47.58 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $158.36 | 62 | $9,818.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 10:35am ET | $157.21 | 62 | $9,746.71 | $9,792.51 |
$-71.30 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $152.16 | 64 | $9,738.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $153.17 | 64 | $9,802.88 | $9,857.15 |
+$64.64 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 12:25pm ET | $154.86 | 63 | $9,756.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 12:55pm ET | $154.97 | 63 | $9,763.01 | $9,863.98 |
+$6.83 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 11:10am ET | $156.86 | 62 | $9,725.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $154.28 | 62 | $9,565.36 | $9,704.02 |
$-159.96 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $158.24 | 61 | $9,652.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 1:05pm ET | $159.78 | 61 | $9,746.43 | $9,797.81 |
+$93.79 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 11:00am ET | $160.41 | 61 | $9,785.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 2:05pm ET | $158.73 | 61 | $9,682.44 | $9,695.24 |
$-102.57 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $159.45 | 60 | $9,567.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $157.45 | 60 | $9,447.00 | $9,575.24 |
$-120.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 2:00pm ET | $158.72 | 60 | $9,523.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 2:30pm ET | $158.37 | 60 | $9,502.39 | $9,554.43 |
$-20.81 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 2:45pm ET | $158.21 | 60 | $9,492.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 3:15pm ET | $160.35 | 60 | $9,621.00 | $9,682.84 |
+$128.41 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 12:00pm ET | $153.46 | 63 | $9,667.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:45am ET | $151.85 | 63 | $9,566.24 | $9,581.09 |
$-101.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 2:10pm ET | $153.22 | 62 | $9,499.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 2:40pm ET | $153.91 | 62 | $9,542.11 | $9,623.56 |
+$42.47 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $151.45 | 63 | $9,541.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 10:40am ET | $151.04 | 63 | $9,515.52 | $9,597.73 |
$-25.83 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 2:35pm ET | $148.84 | 64 | $9,525.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:05pm ET | $147.69 | 64 | $9,452.16 | $9,524.45 |
$-73.28 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $151.95 | 62 | $9,420.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $152.07 | 62 | $9,428.34 | $9,531.89 |
+$7.44 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:15am ET | $152.09 | 62 | $9,429.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 10:45am ET | $151.71 | 62 | $9,406.02 | $9,508.33 |
$-23.56 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 10:45am ET | $152.56 | 62 | $9,458.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $150.64 | 62 | $9,339.37 | $9,388.98 |
$-119.35 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:00am ET | $150.32 | 62 | $9,319.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:15am ET | $148.54 | 62 | $9,209.48 | $9,278.62 |
$-110.36 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 11:40am ET | $146.40 | 63 | $9,223.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 12:10pm ET | $147.23 | 63 | $9,275.49 | $9,330.85 |
+$52.23 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $147.06 | 63 | $9,264.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $147.90 | 63 | $9,317.70 | $9,383.77 |
+$52.92 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET | $147.79 | 63 | $9,310.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 12:00pm ET | $150.54 | 63 | $9,484.02 | $9,557.02 |
+$173.25 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 12:05pm ET | $150.54 | 63 | $9,483.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $147.25 | 63 | $9,276.44 | $9,349.75 |
$-207.27 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:10pm ET | $148.92 | 62 | $9,233.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET | $147.99 | 62 | $9,175.38 | $9,292.09 |
$-57.66 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 11:10am ET | $141.05 | 65 | $9,167.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:10pm ET | $139.62 | 65 | $9,075.30 | $9,199.47 |
$-92.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:35am ET | $142.36 | 64 | $9,111.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 11:05am ET | $144.50 | 64 | $9,248.00 | $9,336.43 |
+$136.96 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 3:00pm ET | $144.83 | 64 | $9,269.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:30pm ET | $145.64 | 64 | $9,320.96 | $9,388.27 |
+$51.84 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $140.47 | 66 | $9,271.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $141.46 | 66 | $9,336.36 | $9,453.61 |
+$65.34 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $146.77 | 64 | $9,393.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:15pm ET | $145.89 | 64 | $9,336.96 | $9,397.29 |
$-56.32 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $150.20 | 62 | $9,312.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $150.20 | 62 | $9,312.40 | $9,397.14 |
$-0.15 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $148.88 | 63 | $9,379.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $150.02 | 63 | $9,451.26 | $9,469.28 |
+$72.14 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET | $151.27 | 62 | $9,378.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:30pm ET | $152.80 | 62 | $9,473.60 | $9,564.14 |
+$94.86 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $153.61 | 62 | $9,523.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $155.32 | 62 | $9,629.84 | $9,670.16 |
+$106.02 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $158.29 | 61 | $9,655.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $156.65 | 61 | $9,555.65 | $9,570.12 |
$-100.04 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $159.59 | 59 | $9,415.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:35am ET | $158.93 | 59 | $9,376.87 | $9,531.18 |
$-38.94 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $159.25 | 59 | $9,395.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET | $160.06 | 59 | $9,443.54 | $9,578.97 |
+$47.79 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $161.85 | 59 | $9,548.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $161.92 | 59 | $9,553.28 | $9,583.39 |
+$4.42 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.05 | 63 | $9,579.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.43 | 63 | $9,098.78 | $9,103.02 |
$-480.38 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,103.02
Net Profit/Loss:
$-896.98
Total Return:
-8.97%