PYPL Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 52 trades in period
+8.11%
Last Year Return
$11,194.29
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,354.57
Period Start
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
18.6/100
× Confidence 0.75
= 13.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,576
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,354.57
Current Value
$11,194.29
Period P&L
$839.72
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
24 /
28
Best Trade
+5.96%
Worst Trade
-2.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,126,289.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$839.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$839.72
Gross Return
+8.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.11%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,354.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $68.94 | 151 | $10,409.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 11:35am ET | $68.53 | 151 | $10,347.28 | $10,405.16 |
$-62.66 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET | $68.78 | 151 | $10,385.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $68.05 | 151 | $10,275.55 | $10,295.68 |
$-109.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 11:20am ET | $70.25 | 146 | $10,255.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 11:50am ET | $70.41 | 146 | $10,279.86 | $10,319.77 |
+$24.09 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 11:15am ET | $72.34 | 142 | $10,272.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 11:45am ET | $72.56 | 142 | $10,303.35 | $10,350.92 |
+$31.15 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $72.63 | 142 | $10,313.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 12:20pm ET | $72.81 | 142 | $10,339.03 | $10,376.49 |
+$25.57 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 3:15pm ET | $72.12 | 143 | $10,313.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $70.74 | 143 | $10,115.82 | $10,179.15 |
$-197.34 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2025 12:30pm ET | $71.20 | 142 | $10,110.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $70.02 | 142 | $9,942.84 | $10,011.59 |
$-167.56 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 11:00am ET | $70.24 | 142 | $9,973.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $70.30 | 142 | $9,982.60 | $10,020.82 |
+$9.23 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 11:55am ET | $72.81 | 137 | $9,974.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $73.48 | 137 | $10,066.76 | $10,112.61 |
+$91.79 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 11:00am ET | $71.90 | 140 | $10,066.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 10:35am ET | $73.77 | 140 | $10,327.10 | $10,373.71 |
+$261.10 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 10:50am ET | $73.84 | 140 | $10,337.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 12:20pm ET | $72.94 | 140 | $10,211.60 | $10,247.71 |
$-126.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $74.64 | 137 | $10,225.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 11:00am ET | $76.36 | 137 | $10,461.32 | $10,483.35 |
+$235.64 (+2.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $76.38 | 137 | $10,464.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 11:35am ET | $76.85 | 137 | $10,528.45 | $10,547.74 |
+$64.39 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 10:20am ET | $75.32 | 140 | $10,544.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 10:50am ET | $74.66 | 140 | $10,452.40 | $10,455.34 |
$-92.40 (-0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 1:45pm ET | $73.71 | 141 | $10,393.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 2:15pm ET | $73.89 | 141 | $10,417.79 | $10,480.02 |
+$24.68 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 12:55pm ET | $75.68 | 138 | $10,443.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 1:25pm ET | $76.94 | 138 | $10,617.72 | $10,654.59 |
+$174.57 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 11:00am ET | $78.52 | 135 | $10,599.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 11:30am ET | $78.48 | 135 | $10,594.13 | $10,649.19 |
$-5.40 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 11:00am ET | $69.10 | 154 | $10,641.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 11:25am ET | $68.31 | 154 | $10,519.74 | $10,527.53 |
$-121.66 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $68.71 | 153 | $10,512.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 1:15pm ET | $68.00 | 153 | $10,403.24 | $10,418.14 |
$-109.39 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 10:05am ET | $69.66 | 149 | $10,378.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 10:20am ET | $68.82 | 149 | $10,253.44 | $10,292.98 |
$-125.16 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:05am ET | $70.23 | 146 | $10,253.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $69.49 | 146 | $10,145.31 | $10,184.71 |
$-108.27 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $68.88 | 147 | $10,125.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $69.51 | 147 | $10,217.97 | $10,277.32 |
+$92.61 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 10:10am ET | $70.06 | 146 | $10,228.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 11:00am ET | $69.30 | 146 | $10,117.80 | $10,166.36 |
$-110.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 11:05am ET | $66.81 | 152 | $10,154.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 11:35am ET | $66.99 | 152 | $10,182.48 | $10,194.48 |
+$28.12 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET | $68.50 | 148 | $10,138.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 2:35pm ET | $67.59 | 148 | $10,003.32 | $10,059.80 |
$-134.68 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 12:10pm ET | $67.24 | 149 | $10,018.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $68.96 | 149 | $10,275.04 | $10,316.82 |
+$257.02 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 10:15am ET | $69.03 | 149 | $10,284.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:50am ET | $71.13 | 149 | $10,598.37 | $10,630.46 |
+$313.64 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 3:05pm ET | $68.72 | 154 | $10,582.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 3:35pm ET | $69.46 | 154 | $10,696.84 | $10,745.19 |
+$114.73 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 3:40pm ET | $69.37 | 154 | $10,682.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 11:30am ET | $71.14 | 154 | $10,954.97 | $11,017.95 |
+$272.76 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 11:35am ET | $71.20 | 154 | $10,964.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $75.44 | 154 | $11,617.76 | $11,670.91 |
+$652.96 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 10:35am ET | $75.61 | 154 | $11,643.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 11:05am ET | $75.26 | 154 | $11,589.27 | $11,616.24 |
$-54.67 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 11:50am ET | $68.73 | 169 | $11,615.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 12:20pm ET | $68.82 | 169 | $11,630.58 | $11,631.45 |
+$15.21 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:05pm ET | $66.62 | 174 | $11,591.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $68.30 | 174 | $11,884.23 | $11,923.80 |
+$292.35 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:35am ET | $68.74 | 173 | $11,891.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 11:05am ET | $70.13 | 173 | $12,132.49 | $12,165.13 |
+$241.33 (+2.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 11:10am ET | $70.17 | 173 | $12,139.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $68.74 | 173 | $11,891.16 | $11,916.87 |
$-248.26 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 12:25pm ET | $69.03 | 172 | $11,873.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $71.00 | 172 | $12,211.33 | $12,255.04 |
+$338.17 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 12:30pm ET | $71.47 | 171 | $12,221.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:00pm ET | $70.63 | 171 | $12,077.73 | $12,111.40 |
$-143.64 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 10:05am ET | $78.42 | 154 | $12,076.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 10:45am ET | $77.30 | 154 | $11,903.43 | $11,938.15 |
$-173.25 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET | $59.82 | 199 | $11,904.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $58.76 | 199 | $11,693.24 | $11,727.21 |
$-210.94 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET | $61.57 | 190 | $11,698.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:40am ET | $61.15 | 190 | $11,619.34 | $11,648.25 |
$-78.96 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $62.26 | 187 | $11,642.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $61.54 | 187 | $11,508.32 | $11,513.95 |
$-134.30 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $59.89 | 192 | $11,498.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:10pm ET | $59.26 | 192 | $11,377.92 | $11,392.99 |
$-120.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $60.07 | 189 | $11,352.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $59.96 | 189 | $11,332.44 | $11,373.15 |
$-19.84 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.44 | 191 | $11,353.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $59.39 | 191 | $11,343.49 | $11,363.60 |
$-9.55 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $59.61 | 190 | $11,324.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $58.79 | 190 | $11,169.15 | $11,207.80 |
$-155.80 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:10pm ET | $58.64 | 191 | $11,200.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $57.38 | 191 | $10,958.63 | $10,966.18 |
$-241.62 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $57.66 | 190 | $10,955.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $57.07 | 190 | $10,842.35 | $10,853.13 |
$-113.05 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $56.25 | 192 | $10,800.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $56.98 | 192 | $10,940.16 | $10,993.29 |
+$140.16 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $41.72 | 263 | $10,972.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $41.08 | 263 | $10,804.80 | $10,825.81 |
$-167.48 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $40.74 | 265 | $10,797.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $42.04 | 265 | $11,140.60 | $11,168.99 |
+$343.18 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $42.29 | 264 | $11,165.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $41.84 | 264 | $11,045.76 | $11,048.87 |
$-120.12 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 11:50am ET | $39.77 | 277 | $11,016.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $40.29 | 277 | $11,161.71 | $11,194.29 |
+$145.42 (+1.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,194.29
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,194.29
Total Return:
+11.94%