Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:32:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 13, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,497
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
256 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,247.53
Current Value
$7,760.24
Period P&L
$512.71
Max Drawdown
-40.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
29 / 35
Best Trade
+8.29%
Worst Trade
-3.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
20.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$870,149.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$512.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$512.71
Gross Return
+7.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 256 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,247.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 10:45am ET $515.63 13 $6,703.19
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 10:35am ET $509.70 13 $6,626.10 $7,052.14 $-77.09
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 12:00pm ET $526.08 13 $6,838.98
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 10:00am ET $519.74 13 $6,756.62 $6,969.78 $-82.36
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 3:15pm ET $523.83 13 $6,809.79
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:00am ET $518.00 13 $6,734.00 $6,893.99 $-75.79
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 2:30pm ET $524.08 13 $6,813.04
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 1:50pm ET $518.68 13 $6,742.84 $6,823.79 $-70.20
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:30am ET $528.76 12 $6,345.12
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:30am ET $542.21 12 $6,506.46 $6,985.13 +$161.34
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 11:00am ET $545.62 12 $6,547.44
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 11:30am ET $548.96 12 $6,587.46 $7,025.15 +$40.02
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:15am ET $550.58 12 $6,606.96
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 10:45am ET $549.90 12 $6,598.80 $7,016.99 $-8.16
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET $557.05 12 $6,684.60
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:30am ET $560.21 12 $6,722.48 $7,054.87 +$37.88
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 10:35am ET $560.95 12 $6,731.40
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 11:10am ET $568.51 12 $6,822.12 $7,145.59 +$90.72
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 12:00pm ET $572.54 12 $6,870.48
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 10:00am ET $564.49 12 $6,773.88 $7,048.99 $-96.60
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 11:00am ET $555.48 12 $6,665.70
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 2:10pm ET $549.79 12 $6,597.48 $6,980.77 $-68.22
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 12:05pm ET $575.20 12 $6,902.40
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:05pm ET $569.27 12 $6,831.24 $6,909.61 $-71.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 10:05am ET $566.96 12 $6,803.46
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 3:30pm ET $560.22 12 $6,722.64 $6,828.79 $-80.82
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:30am ET $575.56 11 $6,331.16
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 11:05am ET $569.32 11 $6,262.52 $6,760.15 $-68.64
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 12:05pm ET $560.69 12 $6,728.28
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $565.01 12 $6,780.06 $6,811.93 +$51.78
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:00am ET $561.48 12 $6,737.76
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 1:25pm ET $555.82 12 $6,669.84 $6,744.01 $-67.92
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 11:20am ET $563.72 11 $6,200.92
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 1:55pm ET $558.04 11 $6,138.44 $6,681.53 $-62.48
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 10:05am ET $566.51 11 $6,231.61
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 10:35am ET $577.80 11 $6,355.80 $6,805.72 +$124.19
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 11:25am ET $592.44 11 $6,516.84
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 11:55am ET $604.25 11 $6,646.75 $6,935.63 +$129.91
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 12:00pm ET $601.81 11 $6,619.91
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 12:10pm ET $595.66 11 $6,552.21 $6,867.93 $-67.70
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 11:50am ET $580.59 11 $6,386.49
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 12:20pm ET $588.44 11 $6,472.84 $6,954.28 +$86.35
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 10:05am ET $567.53 12 $6,810.36
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 10:35am ET $567.31 12 $6,807.66 $6,951.58 $-2.70
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $571.72 12 $6,860.64
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 1:40pm ET $577.15 12 $6,925.80 $7,016.74 +$65.16
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:05am ET $597.69 11 $6,574.59
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 10:35am ET $590.76 11 $6,498.31 $6,940.45 $-76.29
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 11:55am ET $597.10 11 $6,568.10
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 10:00am ET $576.18 11 $6,337.98 $6,710.33 $-230.12
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 11:10am ET $572.74 11 $6,300.14
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:35am ET $565.55 11 $6,221.05 $6,631.24 $-79.09
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 12:40pm ET $570.42 11 $6,274.57
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $564.12 11 $6,205.32 $6,562.00 $-69.24
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:05am ET $599.79 10 $5,997.90
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:35am ET $602.17 10 $6,021.70 $6,585.80 +$23.80
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:10am ET $609.22 10 $6,092.20
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 2:30pm ET $602.73 10 $6,027.25 $6,520.85 $-64.95
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 11:50am ET $588.04 11 $6,468.44
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 2:45pm ET $577.98 11 $6,357.78 $6,410.19 $-110.66
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:35am ET $576.50 11 $6,341.50
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET $570.00 11 $6,270.00 $6,338.69 $-71.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:30am ET $555.00 11 $6,105.00
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 11:00am ET $564.18 11 $6,205.98 $6,439.67 +$100.98
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 11:05am ET $564.55 11 $6,210.05
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:05am ET $580.62 11 $6,386.82 $6,616.44 +$176.77
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 10:10am ET $578.64 11 $6,364.99
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $572.01 11 $6,292.11 $6,543.56 $-72.88
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 12:15pm ET $577.22 11 $6,349.42
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 12:45pm ET $579.76 11 $6,377.31 $6,571.44 +$27.88
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:10am ET $579.72 11 $6,376.87
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:40am ET $586.99 11 $6,456.89 $6,651.46 +$80.02
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 11:45am ET $585.95 11 $6,445.45
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 10:10am ET $579.41 11 $6,373.51 $6,579.52 $-71.94
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 10:15am ET $584.39 11 $6,428.24
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 10:00am ET $632.83 11 $6,961.13 $7,112.42 +$532.90
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $641.00 11 $7,051.00
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 11:05am ET $657.33 11 $7,230.63 $7,292.05 +$179.63
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 11:10am ET $658.10 11 $7,239.10
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $650.70 11 $7,157.70 $7,210.65 $-81.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 10:00am ET $661.60 10 $6,615.98
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 10:20am ET $654.23 10 $6,542.30 $7,136.97 $-73.68
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 10:30am ET $658.44 10 $6,584.40
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 12:50pm ET $651.25 10 $6,512.50 $7,065.07 $-71.90
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET $639.44 11 $7,033.84
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET $656.10 11 $7,217.05 $7,248.28 +$183.21
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:05pm ET $652.35 11 $7,175.85
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:35pm ET $654.88 11 $7,203.68 $7,276.11 +$27.83
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET $660.00 11 $7,260.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $690.14 11 $7,591.54 $7,607.65 +$331.54
(+4.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $703.17 10 $7,031.70
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:10pm ET $695.53 10 $6,955.30 $7,531.25 $-76.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:20am ET $705.33 10 $7,053.30
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:50am ET $712.95 10 $7,129.50 $7,607.45 +$76.20
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:55am ET $713.01 10 $7,130.10
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:05am ET $705.87 10 $7,058.70 $7,536.05 $-71.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:20am ET $741.99 10 $7,419.90
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $733.39 10 $7,333.90 $7,450.05 $-86.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET $752.30 9 $6,770.70
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:10am ET $772.53 9 $6,952.77 $7,632.12 +$182.07
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET $780.28 9 $7,022.52
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET $786.64 9 $7,079.76 $7,689.36 +$57.24
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 10:10am ET $706.89 10 $7,068.90
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $726.00 10 $7,260.00 $7,880.46 +$191.10
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:05am ET $747.09 10 $7,470.90
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:05am ET $739.11 10 $7,391.05 $7,800.61 $-79.85
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:35am ET $766.40 10 $7,664.00
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:50am ET $758.69 10 $7,586.85 $7,723.46 $-77.15
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET $780.66 9 $7,025.90
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:35am ET $783.08 9 $7,047.74 $7,745.31 +$21.85
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $812.36 9 $7,311.24
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $802.68 9 $7,224.12 $7,658.19 $-87.12
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:25am ET $731.77 10 $7,317.70
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $739.18 10 $7,391.80 $7,732.29 +$74.10
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $749.28 10 $7,492.80
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:25am ET $755.28 10 $7,552.78 $7,792.27 +$59.98
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:45am ET $764.50 10 $7,645.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $766.23 10 $7,662.25 $7,809.52 +$17.25
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $777.43 10 $7,774.35
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $765.10 10 $7,651.00 $7,686.17 $-123.35
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $778.89 9 $7,010.01
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $776.70 9 $6,990.30 $7,666.46 $-19.71
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET $760.96 10 $7,609.55
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $780.71 10 $7,807.10 $7,864.01 +$197.55
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $790.00 9 $7,110.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $777.94 9 $7,001.46 $7,755.47 $-108.54
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET $802.94 9 $7,226.46
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $803.47 9 $7,231.23 $7,760.24 +$4.77
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,760.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,239.76
Total Return: -22.40%
Back to Surge