SPXU Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-06-20 to present • 50 trades in period
-20.36%
Last Year Return
$10,111.11
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$12,695.67
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
7
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
2.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
7.1/100
× Confidence 0.93
= 6.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
5 days with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-07-03 (24 candles), 2025-09-16 (36 candles), 2025-10-21 (28 candles), 2025-10-28 (38 candles), 2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,695.67
Current Value
$10,111.11
Period P&L
$-2,584.56
Max Drawdown
-31.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
18 /
32
Best Trade
+6.36%
Worst Trade
-11.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,151,160.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,584.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,584.56
Gross Return
-20.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.36%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,695.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 3:40pm ET | $74.48 | 167 | $12,438.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $76.44 | 167 | $12,765.48 | $12,809.23 |
+$327.39 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 11:30am ET | $70.84 | 180 | $12,751.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 12:40pm ET | $69.46 | 180 | $12,502.80 | $12,560.83 |
$-248.40 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 3:10pm ET | $69.01 | 182 | $12,560.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 11:45am ET | $67.52 | 182 | $12,288.57 | $12,288.78 |
$-272.05 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 12:50pm ET | $66.74 | 184 | $12,280.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 12:25pm ET | $66.07 | 184 | $12,157.17 | $12,165.79 |
$-122.99 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2025 12:50pm ET | $65.60 | 185 | $12,136.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $64.88 | 185 | $12,002.80 | $12,032.59 |
$-133.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 1:00pm ET | $64.88 | 185 | $12,002.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 10:40am ET | $63.52 | 185 | $11,751.27 | $11,781.58 |
$-251.01 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 3:50pm ET | $64.26 | 183 | $11,759.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 1:10pm ET | $63.42 | 183 | $11,605.86 | $11,627.86 |
$-153.72 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 11:20am ET | $62.32 | 186 | $11,591.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 12:40pm ET | $66.29 | 186 | $12,329.20 | $12,365.54 |
+$737.68 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 1:35pm ET | $67.12 | 184 | $12,350.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 3:45pm ET | $66.36 | 184 | $12,210.39 | $12,225.55 |
$-139.99 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 12:40pm ET | $63.96 | 191 | $12,216.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 11:40am ET | $62.72 | 191 | $11,979.44 | $11,988.63 |
$-236.92 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 12:55pm ET | $61.52 | 194 | $11,934.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 11:50am ET | $59.86 | 194 | $11,612.84 | $11,666.75 |
$-321.88 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 1:45pm ET | $61.32 | 190 | $11,650.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $60.64 | 190 | $11,522.36 | $11,538.16 |
$-128.59 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 2:15pm ET | $58.62 | 196 | $11,489.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 12:25pm ET | $57.10 | 196 | $11,191.60 | $11,240.24 |
$-297.92 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 12:45pm ET | $57.03 | 197 | $11,234.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 11:50am ET | $55.90 | 197 | $11,012.30 | $11,017.55 |
$-222.69 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 1:40pm ET | $55.52 | 198 | $10,993.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 12:20pm ET | $54.66 | 198 | $10,822.68 | $10,847.19 |
$-170.36 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 2:00pm ET | $53.56 | 202 | $10,819.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 11:20am ET | $53.01 | 202 | $10,707.70 | $10,735.77 |
$-111.42 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 11:30am ET | $53.26 | 201 | $10,704.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:50am ET | $55.08 | 201 | $11,071.08 | $11,102.55 |
+$366.78 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 12:40pm ET | $55.64 | 199 | $11,071.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:35pm ET | $57.18 | 199 | $11,378.58 | $11,409.17 |
+$306.62 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 11:50am ET | $54.45 | 209 | $11,379.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:15pm ET | $56.14 | 209 | $11,733.43 | $11,763.05 |
+$353.88 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 2:45pm ET | $55.64 | 211 | $11,740.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 12:15pm ET | $55.06 | 211 | $11,617.66 | $11,640.67 |
$-122.38 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 11:55am ET | $51.00 | 228 | $11,628.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 12:40pm ET | $50.04 | 228 | $11,409.12 | $11,421.79 |
$-218.88 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 2:20pm ET | $50.76 | 225 | $11,420.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET | $52.20 | 225 | $11,745.00 | $11,745.97 |
+$324.18 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 2:00pm ET | $52.52 | 223 | $11,711.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 11:50am ET | $51.48 | 223 | $11,480.93 | $11,514.94 |
$-231.03 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 1:00pm ET | $50.80 | 226 | $11,480.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 11:25am ET | $52.64 | 226 | $11,896.64 | $11,930.78 |
+$415.84 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET | $57.43 | 207 | $11,888.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $55.45 | 207 | $11,478.15 | $11,520.92 |
$-409.86 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $55.98 | 205 | $11,474.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $53.56 | 205 | $10,979.80 | $11,025.84 |
$-495.08 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:55am ET | $51.14 | 215 | $10,994.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:40pm ET | $51.11 | 215 | $10,988.59 | $11,020.40 |
$-5.44 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $50.08 | 220 | $11,017.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:35am ET | $51.42 | 220 | $11,312.40 | $11,315.20 |
+$294.80 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $51.04 | 221 | $11,279.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:30am ET | $51.82 | 221 | $11,452.22 | $11,487.58 |
+$172.38 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 12:40pm ET | $52.15 | 220 | $11,473.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:20pm ET | $51.57 | 220 | $11,344.30 | $11,358.88 |
$-128.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $52.33 | 217 | $11,355.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $51.79 | 217 | $11,238.43 | $11,241.70 |
$-117.18 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 12:10pm ET | $48.05 | 233 | $11,195.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 12:40pm ET | $48.69 | 233 | $11,344.77 | $11,390.82 |
+$149.12 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 10:50am ET | $49.17 | 231 | $11,358.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $49.72 | 231 | $11,485.32 | $11,517.87 |
+$127.05 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:25am ET | $49.81 | 231 | $11,506.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $48.55 | 231 | $11,215.05 | $11,226.81 |
$-291.06 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $47.91 | 234 | $11,210.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $48.22 | 234 | $11,284.51 | $11,300.38 |
+$73.57 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $48.24 | 234 | $11,288.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $47.63 | 234 | $11,145.42 | $11,157.64 |
$-142.74 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $47.45 | 235 | $11,150.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $48.45 | 235 | $11,384.58 | $11,391.46 |
+$233.82 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $48.63 | 234 | $11,379.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $48.08 | 234 | $11,250.72 | $11,262.76 |
$-128.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $47.69 | 236 | $11,254.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $47.82 | 236 | $11,286.58 | $11,294.50 |
+$31.74 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $50.28 | 224 | $11,262.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $49.71 | 224 | $11,135.04 | $11,166.82 |
$-127.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.00 | 237 | $11,139.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $48.18 | 237 | $11,418.66 | $11,446.48 |
+$279.66 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $48.23 | 237 | $11,430.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $47.72 | 237 | $11,309.64 | $11,325.61 |
$-120.87 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $48.22 | 234 | $11,283.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $47.58 | 234 | $11,133.72 | $11,175.85 |
$-149.76 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.95 | 233 | $11,172.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $49.19 | 233 | $11,461.27 | $11,464.77 |
+$288.92 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $48.98 | 234 | $11,461.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $50.65 | 234 | $11,851.47 | $11,854.92 |
+$390.15 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $51.18 | 231 | $11,822.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $50.59 | 231 | $11,686.29 | $11,718.63 |
$-136.29 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $47.82 | 245 | $11,715.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $47.70 | 245 | $11,686.50 | $11,689.23 |
$-29.40 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $48.10 | 243 | $11,688.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $49.37 | 243 | $11,995.70 | $11,996.55 |
+$307.32 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.52 | 212 | $11,982.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.19 | 212 | $10,640.49 | $10,654.80 |
$-1,341.75 (-11.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.53 | 276 | $10,634.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $36.56 | 276 | $10,090.56 | $10,111.11 |
$-543.69 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,111.11
Net Profit/Loss:
+$111.11
Total Return:
+1.11%