Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:49:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
7.0/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 14.4/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 13.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,909
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,664.45
Current Value
$10,597.75
Period P&L
$2,933.30
Max Drawdown
-41.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
65
Winners / Losers
34 / 31
Best Trade
+15.40%
Worst Trade
-4.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$982,296.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,933.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,933.30
Gross Return
+38.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 65 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,664.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 10:45am ET $404.95 18 $7,289.10
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 10:00am ET $400.75 18 $7,213.41 $7,607.48 $-75.69
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 12:40pm ET $284.51 26 $7,397.26
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 2:55pm ET $291.90 26 $7,589.40 $7,799.62 +$192.14
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 11:20am ET $307.67 25 $7,691.75
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 1:00pm ET $315.69 25 $7,892.13 $8,000.00 +$200.38
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 1:30pm ET $323.28 24 $7,758.71
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 10:00am ET $308.33 24 $7,399.90 $7,641.20 $-358.80
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 10:15am ET $302.00 25 $7,550.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 2:50pm ET $298.96 25 $7,474.00 $7,565.20 $-76.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 10:20am ET $303.18 24 $7,276.35
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 12:45pm ET $300.07 24 $7,201.68 $7,490.53 $-74.67
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 3:10pm ET $302.69 24 $7,264.56
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 3:40pm ET $303.35 24 $7,280.28 $7,506.25 +$15.72
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 10:15am ET $308.60 24 $7,406.40
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 10:45am ET $314.49 24 $7,547.76 $7,647.61 +$141.36
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 11:50am ET $315.76 24 $7,578.24
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 12:20pm ET $316.28 24 $7,590.72 $7,660.09 +$12.48
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 10:30am ET $310.74 24 $7,457.76
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 3:50pm ET $306.51 24 $7,356.20 $7,558.53 $-101.56
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 3:30pm ET $304.99 24 $7,319.74
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 10:00am ET $301.40 24 $7,233.60 $7,472.39 $-86.14
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 11:35am ET $307.39 24 $7,377.36
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 12:05pm ET $310.24 24 $7,445.85 $7,540.88 +$68.49
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:15am ET $319.30 23 $7,343.90
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 10:15am ET $315.34 23 $7,252.82 $7,449.80 $-91.08
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 11:00am ET $304.03 24 $7,296.72
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 11:55am ET $300.85 24 $7,220.40 $7,373.48 $-76.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 1:30pm ET $302.42 24 $7,257.96
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 12:20pm ET $299.24 24 $7,181.64 $7,297.16 $-76.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $288.97 25 $7,224.25
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 10:50am ET $285.16 25 $7,129.00 $7,201.91 $-95.25
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:15am ET $272.35 26 $7,081.05
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 10:40am ET $268.62 26 $6,984.09 $7,104.96 $-96.95
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $265.92 26 $6,913.92
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:00am ET $257.04 26 $6,683.04 $6,874.08 $-230.88
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 11:20am ET $247.64 27 $6,686.24
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 11:50am ET $246.50 27 $6,655.50 $6,843.34 $-30.74
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:00am ET $249.20 27 $6,728.40
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 10:50am ET $246.70 27 $6,660.90 $6,775.84 $-67.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:00am ET $261.46 25 $6,536.50
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 1:45pm ET $258.37 25 $6,459.25 $6,698.59 $-77.25
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 3:45pm ET $272.04 24 $6,528.92
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 12:20pm ET $269.31 24 $6,463.44 $6,633.11 $-65.48
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 11:15am ET $307.30 21 $6,453.30
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $304.16 21 $6,387.36 $6,567.17 $-65.94
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 10:40am ET $315.33 20 $6,306.60
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 11:55am ET $311.51 20 $6,230.10 $6,490.67 $-76.50
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 10:20am ET $304.16 21 $6,387.36
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:50am ET $308.55 21 $6,479.55 $6,582.86 +$92.19
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 3:00pm ET $307.93 21 $6,466.43
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 3:30pm ET $309.56 21 $6,500.70 $6,617.13 +$34.27
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 11:30am ET $309.45 21 $6,498.45
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 12:00pm ET $314.85 21 $6,611.83 $6,730.51 +$113.38
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 1:05pm ET $316.93 21 $6,655.53
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 1:35pm ET $318.90 21 $6,696.90 $6,771.88 +$41.37
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 11:00am ET $335.66 20 $6,713.20
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 12:30pm ET $344.95 20 $6,899.00 $6,957.68 +$185.80
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 10:25am ET $353.48 19 $6,716.12
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 10:55am ET $359.25 19 $6,825.66 $7,067.22 +$109.54
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 11:50am ET $339.52 20 $6,790.30
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 12:20pm ET $341.15 20 $6,823.00 $7,099.92 +$32.70
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 12:25pm ET $341.64 20 $6,832.80
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 11:15am ET $350.21 20 $7,004.20 $7,271.32 +$171.40
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 11:20am ET $350.78 20 $7,015.60
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 1:40pm ET $346.66 20 $6,933.20 $7,188.92 $-82.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 12:10pm ET $353.62 20 $7,072.40
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 10:10am ET $362.75 20 $7,255.00 $7,371.52 +$182.60
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:15am ET $364.13 20 $7,282.60
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET $358.91 20 $7,178.10 $7,267.02 $-104.50
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $363.87 19 $6,913.53
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 10:55am ET $373.57 19 $7,097.79 $7,451.28 +$184.26
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 11:00am ET $374.02 19 $7,106.34
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 2:35pm ET $370.12 19 $7,032.28 $7,377.22 $-74.06
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:20am ET $359.50 20 $7,190.03
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:50am ET $362.10 20 $7,242.00 $7,429.19 +$51.97
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 3:20pm ET $358.37 20 $7,167.30
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $364.79 20 $7,295.80 $7,557.69 +$128.50
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $364.45 20 $7,289.00
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:05am ET $360.42 20 $7,208.40 $7,477.09 $-80.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 12:40pm ET $359.99 20 $7,199.80
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 1:10pm ET $363.21 20 $7,264.26 $7,541.55 +$64.46
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 1:25pm ET $364.25 20 $7,285.00
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 1:55pm ET $364.23 20 $7,284.50 $7,541.05 $-0.50
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:50pm ET $321.74 23 $7,400.02
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 2:10pm ET $318.28 23 $7,320.44 $7,461.47 $-79.58
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:05pm ET $325.54 22 $7,161.88
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $341.72 22 $7,517.84 $7,817.43 +$355.96
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET $343.11 22 $7,548.42
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:45am ET $339.60 22 $7,471.09 $7,740.10 $-77.33
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:10am ET $317.03 24 $7,608.72
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:40am ET $319.71 24 $7,673.04 $7,804.42 +$64.32
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:20am ET $331.24 23 $7,618.46
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:40pm ET $339.56 23 $7,809.88 $7,995.84 +$191.42
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:30pm ET $325.01 24 $7,800.24
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:05am ET $333.70 24 $8,008.80 $8,204.40 +$208.56
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:10am ET $334.99 24 $8,039.71
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET $344.02 24 $8,256.36 $8,421.05 +$216.65
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:05pm ET $328.67 25 $8,216.75
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:30pm ET $330.95 25 $8,273.75 $8,478.05 +$57.00
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:35pm ET $331.09 25 $8,277.13
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET $335.32 25 $8,383.00 $8,583.93 +$105.88
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:45am ET $332.80 25 $8,320.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:15am ET $338.14 25 $8,453.50 $8,717.43 +$133.50
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:50am ET $342.21 25 $8,555.25
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $351.20 25 $8,780.00 $8,942.18 +$224.75
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:20am ET $347.26 25 $8,681.50
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $343.06 25 $8,576.50 $8,837.18 $-105.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:25am ET $336.34 26 $8,744.71
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:55am ET $333.72 26 $8,676.59 $8,769.06 $-68.12
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET $335.18 26 $8,714.55
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET $345.77 26 $8,989.96 $9,044.46 +$275.40
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $347.04 26 $9,023.04
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:55am ET $353.23 26 $9,183.85 $9,205.27 +$160.81
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:20am ET $293.80 31 $9,107.80
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $290.21 31 $8,996.51 $9,093.98 $-111.29
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET $290.17 31 $8,995.42
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $286.91 31 $8,894.21 $8,992.77 $-101.21
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:35am ET $274.27 32 $8,776.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $279.52 32 $8,944.64 $9,160.61 +$167.84
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $279.92 32 $8,957.45
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $276.68 32 $8,853.79 $9,056.95 $-103.66
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:20am ET $275.53 32 $8,816.96
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:25am ET $283.20 32 $9,062.40 $9,302.39 +$245.44
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $282.17 32 $9,029.60
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET $279.31 32 $8,938.00 $9,210.79 $-91.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $292.38 31 $9,063.78
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $292.78 31 $9,076.18 $9,223.19 +$12.40
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $307.79 29 $8,925.91
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $355.19 29 $10,300.47 $10,597.75 +$1,374.56
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,597.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$597.75
Total Return: +5.98%
Back to Surge