VOO Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 52 trades in period
+4.98%
Last Year Return
$12,328.53
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$11,743.74
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.5/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality
40.7/100
× Confidence 0.75
= 30.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
35,723
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,743.74
Current Value
$12,328.53
Period P&L
$584.79
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
29 /
23
Best Trade
+1.77%
Worst Trade
-1.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,198,713.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$584.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$584.79
Gross Return
+4.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.98%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,743.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 12:35pm ET | $519.89 | 22 | $11,437.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $512.91 | 22 | $11,284.09 | $11,706.19 |
$-153.49 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 11:20am ET | $516.25 | 22 | $11,357.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 11:50am ET | $514.41 | 22 | $11,317.02 | $11,665.71 |
$-40.48 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 11:40am ET | $523.07 | 22 | $11,507.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $517.74 | 22 | $11,390.28 | $11,548.45 |
$-117.26 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 10:10am ET | $539.82 | 21 | $11,336.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $539.60 | 21 | $11,331.60 | $11,543.93 |
$-4.52 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 11:20am ET | $540.80 | 21 | $11,356.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 11:50am ET | $543.59 | 21 | $11,415.29 | $11,602.42 |
+$58.49 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 1:30pm ET | $545.42 | 21 | $11,453.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 2:00pm ET | $546.38 | 21 | $11,473.90 | $11,622.50 |
+$20.08 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 2:05pm ET | $546.40 | 21 | $11,474.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 2:35pm ET | $543.65 | 21 | $11,416.65 | $11,564.75 |
$-57.75 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 12:45pm ET | $544.60 | 21 | $11,436.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET | $538.62 | 21 | $11,311.02 | $11,439.17 |
$-125.58 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 3:00pm ET | $538.76 | 21 | $11,314.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $531.18 | 21 | $11,154.78 | $11,279.91 |
$-159.26 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 1:10pm ET | $533.17 | 21 | $11,196.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 1:40pm ET | $542.62 | 21 | $11,395.02 | $11,478.44 |
+$198.53 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 1:45pm ET | $542.87 | 21 | $11,400.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 2:15pm ET | $542.19 | 21 | $11,385.99 | $11,464.21 |
$-14.23 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 2:25pm ET | $543.72 | 21 | $11,418.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 2:55pm ET | $548.18 | 21 | $11,511.78 | $11,557.87 |
+$93.66 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 3:00pm ET | $548.06 | 21 | $11,509.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 3:30pm ET | $548.72 | 21 | $11,523.02 | $11,571.73 |
+$13.86 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 3:00pm ET | $554.26 | 20 | $11,085.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 3:30pm ET | $551.42 | 20 | $11,028.40 | $11,514.95 |
$-56.78 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 10:45am ET | $554.39 | 20 | $11,087.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 10:25am ET | $548.73 | 20 | $10,974.60 | $11,401.85 |
$-113.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $552.25 | 20 | $11,045.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 2:05pm ET | $559.89 | 20 | $11,197.70 | $11,554.50 |
+$152.65 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 2:55pm ET | $559.94 | 20 | $11,198.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 3:25pm ET | $559.65 | 20 | $11,193.00 | $11,548.70 |
$-5.80 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2025 1:30pm ET | $563.68 | 20 | $11,273.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 2:00pm ET | $566.17 | 20 | $11,323.40 | $11,598.52 |
+$49.82 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 12:35pm ET | $569.47 | 20 | $11,389.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $572.80 | 20 | $11,456.00 | $11,665.22 |
+$66.70 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 1:30pm ET | $575.77 | 20 | $11,515.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 2:00pm ET | $573.97 | 20 | $11,479.40 | $11,629.22 |
$-36.00 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 3:00pm ET | $577.55 | 20 | $11,551.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 3:30pm ET | $576.44 | 20 | $11,528.80 | $11,607.02 |
$-22.20 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $582.93 | 19 | $11,075.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 10:25am ET | $584.16 | 19 | $11,098.95 | $11,630.30 |
+$23.28 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $580.12 | 20 | $11,602.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 10:25am ET | $577.96 | 20 | $11,559.20 | $11,587.10 |
$-43.20 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 11:25am ET | $580.90 | 19 | $11,037.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 11:55am ET | $580.94 | 19 | $11,037.86 | $11,587.86 |
+$0.76 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 12:50pm ET | $590.00 | 19 | $11,210.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 1:20pm ET | $591.56 | 19 | $11,239.64 | $11,617.50 |
+$29.64 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $591.02 | 19 | $11,229.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $592.14 | 19 | $11,250.66 | $11,638.78 |
+$21.28 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $592.76 | 19 | $11,262.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 10:20am ET | $594.18 | 19 | $11,289.42 | $11,665.84 |
+$27.06 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 1:50pm ET | $595.12 | 19 | $11,307.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 2:20pm ET | $593.41 | 19 | $11,274.79 | $11,633.35 |
$-32.49 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 3:00pm ET | $604.59 | 19 | $11,487.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 3:30pm ET | $604.79 | 19 | $11,491.01 | $11,637.15 |
+$3.80 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 12:20pm ET | $613.61 | 18 | $11,044.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 12:50pm ET | $613.60 | 18 | $11,044.80 | $11,636.97 |
$-0.18 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 3:25pm ET | $611.70 | 19 | $11,622.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $614.61 | 19 | $11,677.66 | $11,692.25 |
+$55.28 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 11:45am ET | $618.40 | 18 | $11,131.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 12:15pm ET | $617.00 | 18 | $11,106.00 | $11,667.09 |
$-25.16 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:25am ET | $606.61 | 19 | $11,525.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 10:55am ET | $615.10 | 19 | $11,686.90 | $11,828.40 |
+$161.31 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $611.00 | 19 | $11,609.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 2:45pm ET | $617.30 | 19 | $11,728.70 | $11,948.10 |
+$119.70 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 2:55pm ET | $617.52 | 19 | $11,732.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 3:25pm ET | $617.74 | 19 | $11,737.06 | $11,952.28 |
+$4.18 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 3:50pm ET | $630.24 | 18 | $11,344.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $633.40 | 18 | $11,401.20 | $12,009.16 |
+$56.88 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:50am ET | $624.95 | 19 | $11,873.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $618.40 | 19 | $11,749.51 | $11,884.70 |
$-124.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 3:40pm ET | $616.03 | 19 | $11,704.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $624.76 | 19 | $11,870.43 | $12,050.56 |
+$165.86 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 1:15pm ET | $627.94 | 19 | $11,930.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 1:45pm ET | $628.34 | 19 | $11,938.46 | $12,058.16 |
+$7.60 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $616.86 | 19 | $11,720.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $615.29 | 19 | $11,690.51 | $12,028.33 |
$-29.83 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET | $605.64 | 19 | $11,507.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET | $614.25 | 19 | $11,670.75 | $12,191.92 |
+$163.59 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:25pm ET | $614.40 | 19 | $11,673.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 12:55pm ET | $619.09 | 19 | $11,762.71 | $12,281.03 |
+$89.11 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $619.30 | 19 | $11,766.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:30pm ET | $625.55 | 19 | $11,885.45 | $12,399.78 |
+$118.75 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 12:20pm ET | $628.52 | 19 | $11,941.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:50pm ET | $629.33 | 19 | $11,957.27 | $12,415.24 |
+$15.46 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $630.78 | 19 | $11,984.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:00pm ET | $633.59 | 19 | $12,038.21 | $12,468.63 |
+$53.39 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:05pm ET | $633.43 | 19 | $12,035.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $626.85 | 19 | $11,910.15 | $12,343.54 |
$-125.09 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $638.64 | 19 | $12,134.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET | $639.10 | 19 | $12,142.90 | $12,352.28 |
+$8.74 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $630.02 | 19 | $11,970.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $634.43 | 19 | $12,054.17 | $12,436.07 |
+$83.79 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $640.38 | 19 | $12,167.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $633.79 | 19 | $12,042.01 | $12,310.86 |
$-125.21 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $633.38 | 19 | $12,034.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $638.94 | 19 | $12,139.86 | $12,416.50 |
+$105.64 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:05pm ET | $639.07 | 19 | $12,142.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $638.00 | 19 | $12,122.00 | $12,396.17 |
$-20.33 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 11:50am ET | $629.93 | 19 | $11,968.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $626.37 | 19 | $11,901.03 | $12,328.53 |
$-67.64 (-0.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,328.53
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,328.53
Total Return:
+23.29%