Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 8.4/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 6.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,080
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,212.44
Current Value
$8,630.79
Period P&L
$418.35
Max Drawdown
-23.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
33 / 29
Best Trade
+2.75%
Worst Trade
-1.95%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,038,087.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$418.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$418.35
Gross Return
+5.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,212.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 11:30am ET $41.12 199 $8,182.38
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 12:00pm ET $41.07 199 $8,172.27 $8,202.33 $-10.11
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 10:10am ET $42.74 191 $8,162.39
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:40am ET $42.48 191 $8,113.79 $8,153.74 $-48.59
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 11:50am ET $42.40 192 $8,140.80
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 12:20pm ET $42.60 192 $8,179.49 $8,192.43 +$38.69
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 1:40pm ET $40.97 199 $8,152.53
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 2:10pm ET $41.03 199 $8,165.47 $8,205.36 +$12.93
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 2:15pm ET $41.00 200 $8,200.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 2:45pm ET $41.35 200 $8,270.00 $8,275.36 +$70.00
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:25am ET $41.65 198 $8,246.70
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 10:55am ET $41.64 198 $8,243.73 $8,272.39 $-2.97
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 12:45pm ET $42.06 196 $8,243.76
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 1:15pm ET $42.69 196 $8,367.73 $8,396.36 +$123.97
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 1:20pm ET $42.68 196 $8,365.28
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 1:50pm ET $42.81 196 $8,389.78 $8,420.86 +$24.50
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 2:25pm ET $43.04 195 $8,392.31
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 2:55pm ET $43.17 195 $8,418.64 $8,447.18 +$26.32
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $43.30 195 $8,443.11
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 10:25am ET $43.71 195 $8,523.45 $8,527.52 +$80.34
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $44.60 191 $8,518.60
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 10:00am ET $44.06 191 $8,415.46 $8,424.38 $-103.14
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 11:00am ET $42.74 197 $8,419.54
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 11:30am ET $42.49 197 $8,370.53 $8,375.37 $-49.01
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 11:25am ET $42.65 196 $8,359.40
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 10:00am ET $42.12 196 $8,255.52 $8,271.49 $-103.88
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:20am ET $42.65 193 $8,230.97
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 11:50am ET $43.00 193 $8,299.00 $8,339.52 +$68.03
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 2:15pm ET $43.34 192 $8,320.76
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 11:40am ET $43.09 192 $8,272.32 $8,291.08 $-48.44
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:20am ET $43.71 189 $8,261.66
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 10:50am ET $44.00 189 $8,316.47 $8,345.89 +$54.81
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:05am ET $44.07 189 $8,328.30
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:35am ET $44.48 189 $8,405.78 $8,423.36 +$77.47
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 10:55am ET $44.61 188 $8,385.74
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:10am ET $44.11 188 $8,292.21 $8,329.83 $-93.53
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 2:20pm ET $43.27 192 $8,307.84
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 2:50pm ET $42.87 192 $8,231.52 $8,253.51 $-76.32
(-0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 11:55am ET $43.24 190 $8,216.08
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:25pm ET $43.54 190 $8,271.65 $8,309.08 +$55.57
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 12:35pm ET $43.53 190 $8,269.75
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 1:05pm ET $43.59 190 $8,282.10 $8,321.43 +$12.35
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $44.34 187 $8,290.65
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 2:50pm ET $43.89 187 $8,207.43 $8,238.21 $-83.22
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:20am ET $44.08 186 $8,197.95
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 11:15am ET $43.58 186 $8,104.95 $8,145.21 $-93.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:05am ET $42.63 191 $8,142.33
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:35am ET $42.43 191 $8,103.18 $8,106.05 $-39.16
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 3:40pm ET $42.74 189 $8,078.33
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 10:10am ET $42.72 189 $8,074.08 $8,101.80 $-4.25
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 12:00pm ET $43.10 187 $8,059.70
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 10:00am ET $42.46 187 $7,940.02 $7,982.12 $-119.68
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 1:15pm ET $42.71 186 $7,944.06
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 1:45pm ET $42.41 186 $7,887.33 $7,925.39 $-56.73
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 12:50pm ET $43.12 183 $7,891.42
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $44.06 183 $8,062.07 $8,096.04 +$170.65
(+2.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $44.02 183 $8,055.66
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 1:55pm ET $44.18 183 $8,084.48 $8,124.86 +$28.82
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 1:45pm ET $44.83 181 $8,113.78
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 2:15pm ET $45.19 181 $8,179.39 $8,190.47 +$65.61
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 11:35am ET $44.58 183 $8,158.14
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET $44.12 183 $8,073.05 $8,105.38 $-85.09
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 11:45am ET $44.86 180 $8,073.90
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 12:15pm ET $44.96 180 $8,092.80 $8,124.28 +$18.90
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $45.27 179 $8,103.78
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 2:50pm ET $44.74 179 $8,008.91 $8,029.41 $-94.87
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 3:00pm ET $43.94 182 $7,996.17
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 10:45am ET $45.06 182 $8,200.01 $8,233.25 +$203.84
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:50am ET $44.98 183 $8,230.43
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 11:20am ET $45.37 183 $8,302.71 $8,305.53 +$72.28
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 11:30am ET $45.48 182 $8,277.36
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 12:00pm ET $45.55 182 $8,290.10 $8,318.27 +$12.74
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 12:30pm ET $45.57 182 $8,293.25
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 1:00pm ET $46.23 182 $8,414.04 $8,439.06 +$120.79
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:30am ET $43.07 195 $8,397.68
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 11:00am ET $43.37 195 $8,456.18 $8,497.56 +$58.50
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 3:25pm ET $43.90 193 $8,472.70
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $44.49 193 $8,586.57 $8,611.43 +$113.87
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 10:55am ET $44.10 195 $8,599.01
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 11:25am ET $44.19 195 $8,616.56 $8,628.98 +$17.55
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:30am ET $44.20 195 $8,619.00
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $43.75 195 $8,531.25 $8,541.23 $-87.75
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 11:45am ET $44.11 193 $8,512.75
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 12:15pm ET $44.14 193 $8,519.50 $8,547.98 +$6.75
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 2:50pm ET $45.21 189 $8,544.22
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:20pm ET $45.86 189 $8,667.54 $8,671.30 +$123.32
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:50am ET $45.66 189 $8,629.74
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:20am ET $45.68 189 $8,633.52 $8,675.08 +$3.78
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:55pm ET $45.48 190 $8,640.25
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $44.59 190 $8,472.10 $8,506.93 $-168.15
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:40pm ET $44.93 189 $8,491.77
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:10pm ET $45.00 189 $8,505.00 $8,520.16 +$13.23
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:40am ET $44.67 190 $8,487.30
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:10pm ET $44.42 190 $8,439.80 $8,472.66 $-47.50
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:40am ET $44.83 188 $8,428.04
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:10pm ET $45.37 188 $8,528.62 $8,573.24 +$100.58
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:50am ET $45.77 187 $8,558.52
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:20am ET $46.05 187 $8,611.35 $8,626.07 +$52.83
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:45am ET $46.59 185 $8,619.15
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:40pm ET $46.11 185 $8,529.43 $8,536.34 $-89.73
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET $46.11 185 $8,529.43
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:00pm ET $45.98 185 $8,506.54 $8,513.46 $-22.88
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:55pm ET $44.46 191 $8,491.86
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:25pm ET $44.09 191 $8,420.24 $8,441.83 $-71.63
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET $44.92 187 $8,399.11
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $46.13 187 $8,626.31 $8,669.04 +$227.21
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:40am ET $45.86 189 $8,666.73
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $46.71 189 $8,828.19 $8,830.50 +$161.46
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET $48.20 183 $8,819.69
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET $47.67 183 $8,722.71 $8,733.53 $-96.97
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:55am ET $47.91 182 $8,718.71
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:25am ET $47.78 182 $8,695.05 $8,709.87 $-23.66
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $50.77 171 $8,681.67
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET $50.06 171 $8,560.26 $8,588.46 $-121.41
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET $50.90 168 $8,551.89
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $52.31 168 $8,787.24 $8,823.81 +$235.35
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $52.83 167 $8,822.31
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $52.25 167 $8,725.75 $8,727.25 $-96.56
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $53.38 163 $8,700.13
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $53.40 163 $8,703.39 $8,730.51 +$3.26
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $53.68 162 $8,696.16
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $53.64 162 $8,689.66 $8,724.01 $-6.50
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:30am ET $55.08 158 $8,701.85
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:45am ET $54.49 158 $8,608.63 $8,630.79 $-93.22
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,630.79
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,369.21
Total Return: -13.69%
Back to Surge