Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
32,467
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,850.38
Current Value
$9,099.94
Period P&L
$-750.44
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
24 / 36
Best Trade
+2.00%
Worst Trade
-1.94%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,141,819.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-750.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-750.44
Gross Return
-7.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,850.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 10:35am ET $49.63 200 $9,926.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 11:05am ET $49.44 200 $9,887.00 $9,893.38 $-39.00
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 11:10am ET $49.44 200 $9,887.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:40am ET $49.57 200 $9,913.00 $9,919.38 +$26.00
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 12:55pm ET $49.68 199 $9,885.33
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $50.27 199 $10,002.74 $10,036.79 +$117.41
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $50.22 199 $9,993.78
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 2:00pm ET $49.91 199 $9,931.35 $9,974.36 $-62.43
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 11:30am ET $51.52 193 $9,943.36
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 12:00pm ET $51.61 193 $9,960.71 $9,991.71 +$17.35
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 1:05pm ET $51.76 193 $9,990.57
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 1:35pm ET $51.38 193 $9,915.38 $9,916.52 $-75.19
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 3:25pm ET $50.51 196 $9,899.96
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 10:00am ET $49.91 196 $9,782.36 $9,798.92 $-117.60
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 11:30am ET $50.05 195 $9,759.75
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 12:00pm ET $50.77 195 $9,899.18 $9,938.35 +$139.43
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 12:05pm ET $50.76 195 $9,897.23
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 12:35pm ET $50.73 195 $9,891.38 $9,932.50 $-5.85
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 3:00pm ET $50.91 195 $9,928.13
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET $50.35 195 $9,818.25 $9,822.62 $-109.88
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 2:20pm ET $50.86 193 $9,815.02
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 2:50pm ET $51.06 193 $9,854.58 $9,862.19 +$39.57
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 10:30am ET $50.92 193 $9,826.60
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:00am ET $49.93 193 $9,635.53 $9,671.12 $-191.07
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:40am ET $50.80 190 $9,652.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 11:10am ET $50.40 190 $9,576.00 $9,595.12 $-76.00
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 10:20am ET $50.69 189 $9,580.41
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 3:25pm ET $50.16 189 $9,479.30 $9,494.01 $-101.11
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 3:00pm ET $50.68 187 $9,477.16
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 3:30pm ET $51.70 187 $9,666.97 $9,683.82 +$189.81
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 3:35pm ET $51.74 187 $9,675.25
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:05am ET $51.52 187 $9,634.24 $9,642.81 $-41.01
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 11:10am ET $52.09 185 $9,635.73
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 11:40am ET $52.31 185 $9,677.35 $9,684.44 +$41.63
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 12:50pm ET $52.56 184 $9,670.12
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 1:20pm ET $52.49 184 $9,657.24 $9,671.56 $-12.88
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 11:00am ET $52.67 183 $9,637.70
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 11:30am ET $52.25 183 $9,560.84 $9,594.70 $-76.86
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 2:25pm ET $52.50 182 $9,555.00
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 2:55pm ET $52.52 182 $9,558.64 $9,598.34 +$3.64
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 11:20am ET $52.88 181 $9,571.28
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 11:50am ET $52.63 181 $9,525.13 $9,552.18 $-46.16
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 1:40pm ET $52.99 180 $9,537.30
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 2:10pm ET $53.34 180 $9,601.20 $9,616.08 +$63.90
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 1:10pm ET $53.40 180 $9,611.10
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 1:40pm ET $53.09 180 $9,556.20 $9,561.18 $-54.90
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 3:35pm ET $51.87 184 $9,544.08
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 10:05am ET $51.95 184 $9,558.80 $9,575.90 +$14.72
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:05am ET $51.91 184 $9,551.44
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 10:35am ET $51.85 184 $9,539.48 $9,563.94 $-11.96
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:45am ET $52.51 182 $9,556.82
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 11:15am ET $52.72 182 $9,595.04 $9,602.16 +$38.22
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 2:40pm ET $52.91 181 $9,576.71
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 3:10pm ET $52.53 181 $9,507.93 $9,533.38 $-68.78
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:30am ET $52.85 180 $9,513.00
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 11:00am ET $52.69 180 $9,484.20 $9,504.58 $-28.80
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $53.39 178 $9,503.42
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $53.37 178 $9,498.97 $9,500.13 $-4.45
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 2:50pm ET $53.43 177 $9,457.11
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 3:20pm ET $53.86 177 $9,532.34 $9,575.35 +$75.22
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 1:50pm ET $54.03 177 $9,562.43
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:15am ET $53.42 177 $9,455.34 $9,468.27 $-107.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 11:10am ET $53.48 177 $9,465.08
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 11:40am ET $53.11 177 $9,399.62 $9,402.82 $-65.45
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 10:40am ET $53.84 174 $9,367.29
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 11:10am ET $53.82 174 $9,363.81 $9,399.34 $-3.48
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $54.29 173 $9,392.17
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 2:50pm ET $53.70 173 $9,289.24 $9,296.40 $-102.94
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:30am ET $54.48 170 $9,260.75
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 11:00am ET $53.98 170 $9,175.75 $9,211.40 $-85.00
(-0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 12:55pm ET $53.97 170 $9,174.05
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET $53.41 170 $9,079.70 $9,117.05 $-94.35
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:10am ET $52.77 172 $9,075.58
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:40am ET $53.66 172 $9,229.52 $9,270.99 +$153.94
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 2:45pm ET $52.28 177 $9,253.56
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 3:15pm ET $52.85 177 $9,353.57 $9,371.00 +$100.01
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 3:20pm ET $52.83 177 $9,350.91
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $52.83 177 $9,350.91 $9,371.00 $0.00
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:00am ET $52.81 177 $9,346.49
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $52.25 177 $9,247.37 $9,271.88 $-99.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 3:30pm ET $52.50 176 $9,239.12
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET $51.90 176 $9,133.52 $9,166.28 $-105.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:10am ET $52.46 174 $9,128.04
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 10:40am ET $52.49 174 $9,132.41 $9,170.65 +$4.37
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 12:25pm ET $52.76 173 $9,126.62
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:20am ET $52.20 173 $9,029.74 $9,073.77 $-96.88
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:35pm ET $52.67 172 $9,058.38
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:05pm ET $53.10 172 $9,132.34 $9,147.73 +$73.96
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:00pm ET $53.30 171 $9,113.45
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 1:30pm ET $53.77 171 $9,193.82 $9,228.10 +$80.37
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET $51.75 178 $9,210.61
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET $51.68 178 $9,198.15 $9,215.64 $-12.46
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:30pm ET $51.97 177 $9,197.81
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:00am ET $52.82 177 $9,348.26 $9,366.09 +$150.45
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $53.10 176 $9,344.72
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $53.33 176 $9,386.08 $9,407.45 +$41.36
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:35pm ET $53.44 176 $9,405.44
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 1:05pm ET $53.69 176 $9,449.44 $9,451.45 +$44.00
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:15am ET $53.64 176 $9,440.64
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:45am ET $54.71 176 $9,628.08 $9,638.89 +$187.44
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:50pm ET $54.76 176 $9,636.88
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 1:20pm ET $54.94 176 $9,669.44 $9,671.45 +$32.56
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 11:10am ET $55.32 174 $9,624.81
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:40am ET $55.41 174 $9,640.47 $9,687.11 +$15.66
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:05pm ET $55.82 173 $9,656.00
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:30pm ET $55.57 173 $9,612.75 $9,643.86 $-43.25
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET $56.30 171 $9,627.30
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET $56.20 171 $9,609.35 $9,625.91 $-17.95
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $56.35 170 $9,578.65
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $55.73 170 $9,474.10 $9,521.36 $-104.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $56.24 169 $9,504.56
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $55.84 169 $9,436.12 $9,452.91 $-68.45
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $54.10 174 $9,412.53
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $53.52 174 $9,312.62 $9,353.00 $-99.91
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $54.00 173 $9,342.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $53.43 173 $9,243.39 $9,254.39 $-98.61
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:40am ET $53.99 171 $9,232.29
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET $53.38 171 $9,127.13 $9,149.22 $-105.17
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $51.93 176 $9,139.68
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.65 176 $9,090.40 $9,099.94 $-49.28
(-0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,099.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-900.06
Total Return: -9.00%
Back to Surge