Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:18:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 31.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 23.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,376
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,073.06
Current Value
$14,100.14
Period P&L
$3,027.08
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
39 / 31
Best Trade
+15.08%
Worst Trade
-2.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,649,754.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,027.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,027.08
Gross Return
+27.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,073.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 2:00pm ET $108.37 103 $11,161.60
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 10:00am ET $106.09 103 $10,927.27 $11,009.72 $-234.32
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 10:40am ET $106.85 103 $11,005.55
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:10am ET $106.51 103 $10,970.03 $10,974.20 $-35.52
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 3:40pm ET $108.00 101 $10,908.00
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 10:10am ET $109.37 101 $11,046.62 $11,112.82 +$138.62
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $113.88 97 $11,045.88
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:00am ET $116.79 97 $11,328.15 $11,395.09 +$282.27
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 11:30am ET $117.30 97 $11,377.62
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 12:00pm ET $116.94 97 $11,343.18 $11,360.65 $-34.44
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 10:05am ET $117.00 97 $11,349.20
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 10:35am ET $116.71 97 $11,320.87 $11,332.32 $-28.33
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 11:05am ET $116.84 96 $11,216.16
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $115.53 96 $11,090.40 $11,206.56 $-125.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 1:15pm ET $113.89 98 $11,160.73
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 1:45pm ET $116.16 98 $11,383.44 $11,429.26 +$222.70
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 1:50pm ET $116.14 98 $11,381.72
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 2:20pm ET $116.40 98 $11,406.71 $11,454.25 +$24.99
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 2:20pm ET $116.43 98 $11,410.39
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 2:50pm ET $118.02 98 $11,565.47 $11,609.34 +$155.09
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 2:55pm ET $118.11 98 $11,574.78
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 3:25pm ET $118.51 98 $11,613.98 $11,648.54 +$39.20
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 11:15am ET $119.47 97 $11,588.11
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:10pm ET $118.25 97 $11,470.01 $11,530.44 $-118.10
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 10:30am ET $120.45 95 $11,442.75
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 11:00am ET $120.06 95 $11,405.23 $11,492.92 $-37.52
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 3:00pm ET $120.48 95 $11,445.60
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 3:30pm ET $119.79 95 $11,380.05 $11,427.37 $-65.55
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 10:20am ET $121.17 94 $11,389.98
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:05am ET $119.95 94 $11,274.83 $11,312.22 $-115.15
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 11:15am ET $121.83 92 $11,208.36
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 11:45am ET $121.44 92 $11,172.02 $11,275.88 $-36.34
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 10:30am ET $121.53 92 $11,180.76
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 10:45am ET $120.16 92 $11,054.95 $11,150.07 $-125.81
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 1:20pm ET $120.92 92 $11,124.18
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 1:50pm ET $123.69 92 $11,379.48 $11,405.37 +$255.30
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 1:55pm ET $123.68 92 $11,378.33
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 2:25pm ET $124.44 92 $11,448.28 $11,475.32 +$69.95
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $126.93 90 $11,423.70
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 10:30am ET $125.64 90 $11,307.15 $11,358.77 $-116.55
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 10:30am ET $126.17 90 $11,355.53
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 11:00am ET $128.50 90 $11,564.55 $11,567.80 +$209.03
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 11:05am ET $128.56 89 $11,441.84
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 2:15pm ET $127.17 89 $11,318.13 $11,444.09 $-123.71
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 1:35pm ET $128.12 89 $11,402.68
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 2:05pm ET $129.53 89 $11,528.17 $11,569.58 +$125.49
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 11:05am ET $130.49 88 $11,482.68
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 11:35am ET $130.39 88 $11,473.88 $11,560.78 $-8.80
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 2:20pm ET $130.22 88 $11,459.36
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 2:50pm ET $130.66 88 $11,497.64 $11,599.06 +$38.28
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 11:45am ET $131.16 88 $11,541.64
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 12:15pm ET $131.71 88 $11,590.48 $11,647.90 +$48.84
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 2:00pm ET $133.03 87 $11,573.61
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 2:30pm ET $132.59 87 $11,535.33 $11,609.62 $-38.28
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 11:20am ET $133.52 86 $11,482.30
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 11:50am ET $134.10 86 $11,532.60 $11,659.92 +$50.30
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $130.84 89 $11,644.32
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $131.20 89 $11,676.36 $11,691.96 +$32.04
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 12:05pm ET $131.69 88 $11,588.72
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 12:35pm ET $131.44 88 $11,566.28 $11,669.52 $-22.44
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 11:45am ET $132.07 88 $11,622.16
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 12:15pm ET $132.87 88 $11,692.56 $11,739.92 +$70.40
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 2:40pm ET $133.43 87 $11,608.41
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 10:00am ET $131.29 87 $11,421.80 $11,553.30 $-186.62
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 11:20am ET $130.70 88 $11,501.16
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 11:50am ET $130.91 88 $11,519.64 $11,571.78 +$18.48
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $136.68 84 $11,480.70
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 10:25am ET $135.59 84 $11,389.14 $11,480.22 $-91.56
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:25am ET $138.24 83 $11,473.51
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 10:55am ET $138.62 83 $11,505.46 $11,512.17 +$31.95
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $139.50 82 $11,438.80
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 10:20am ET $140.85 82 $11,549.29 $11,622.67 +$110.50
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 10:15am ET $138.52 83 $11,496.75
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:45am ET $138.44 83 $11,490.52 $11,616.45 $-6.22
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 11:00am ET $140.97 82 $11,559.54
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:30am ET $141.44 82 $11,597.67 $11,654.58 +$38.13
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 11:35am ET $141.59 82 $11,610.38
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 12:05pm ET $142.86 82 $11,714.52 $11,758.72 +$104.14
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 11:45am ET $144.75 81 $11,724.35
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 12:15pm ET $145.12 81 $11,754.72 $11,789.10 +$30.38
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 11:45am ET $141.31 83 $11,728.32
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 12:15pm ET $142.15 83 $11,798.04 $11,858.82 +$69.72
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 3:05pm ET $142.72 83 $11,845.97
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 3:35pm ET $144.33 83 $11,979.39 $11,992.24 +$133.42
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:45am ET $144.56 82 $11,853.51
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $143.09 82 $11,733.38 $11,872.11 $-120.13
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 11:50am ET $144.42 82 $11,842.44
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 12:20pm ET $146.99 82 $12,052.77 $12,082.44 +$210.33
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 3:35pm ET $149.39 80 $11,950.80
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 10:05am ET $152.61 80 $12,208.40 $12,340.04 +$257.60
(+2.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 12:35pm ET $148.22 83 $12,301.85
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $145.46 83 $12,072.77 $12,110.96 $-229.08
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $144.08 84 $12,102.72
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 2:50pm ET $147.74 84 $12,410.16 $12,418.40 +$307.44
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $148.01 83 $12,284.83
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:05am ET $146.49 83 $12,158.67 $12,292.24 $-126.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET $143.82 85 $12,224.28
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET $142.60 85 $12,121.00 $12,188.96 $-103.28
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 12:30pm ET $137.18 88 $12,071.84
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $140.18 88 $12,335.84 $12,452.96 +$264.00
(+2.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 1:05pm ET $140.21 88 $12,338.48
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $137.18 88 $12,071.84 $12,186.32 $-266.64
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 12:05pm ET $139.27 87 $12,116.06
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 12:35pm ET $142.26 87 $12,376.62 $12,446.89 +$260.57
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 12:40pm ET $142.40 87 $12,388.80
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:05am ET $142.47 87 $12,394.46 $12,452.54 +$5.65
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 11:40am ET $143.03 87 $12,443.18
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 12:10pm ET $144.61 87 $12,580.64 $12,590.01 +$137.47
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:30am ET $144.45 87 $12,567.15
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:00am ET $144.85 87 $12,601.52 $12,624.38 +$34.37
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:55am ET $145.74 86 $12,533.21
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 12:25pm ET $146.22 86 $12,574.92 $12,666.09 +$41.71
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET $148.28 85 $12,603.38
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $145.70 85 $12,384.50 $12,447.21 $-218.88
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:35pm ET $147.61 84 $12,399.24
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET $145.89 84 $12,254.76 $12,302.73 $-144.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 2:25pm ET $145.72 84 $12,240.48
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 11:50am ET $146.73 84 $12,325.32 $12,387.57 +$84.84
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $146.61 84 $12,315.24
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $147.03 84 $12,350.10 $12,422.43 +$34.86
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $145.76 85 $12,389.18
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET $146.53 85 $12,455.05 $12,488.31 +$65.88
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $146.95 84 $12,343.38
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:20pm ET $146.37 84 $12,295.08 $12,440.01 $-48.30
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET $144.01 86 $12,384.86
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $142.52 86 $12,256.72 $12,311.87 $-128.14
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:20am ET $145.32 84 $12,206.88
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:50am ET $146.33 84 $12,291.72 $12,396.71 +$84.84
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:15am ET $148.53 83 $12,327.99
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:45am ET $148.75 83 $12,346.25 $12,414.97 +$18.26
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:10am ET $145.82 85 $12,394.70
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $142.64 85 $12,124.40 $12,144.67 $-270.30
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET $140.49 86 $12,082.57
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $143.60 86 $12,349.60 $12,411.70 +$267.03
(+2.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $143.68 86 $12,356.48
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $143.57 86 $12,346.59 $12,401.81 $-9.89
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $140.69 88 $12,380.72
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $139.14 88 $12,244.32 $12,265.41 $-136.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $143.16 85 $12,169.02
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:10am ET $164.75 85 $14,003.75 $14,100.14 +$1,834.73
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
27d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,100.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,100.14
Total Return: +41.00%
Back to Surge