Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:49:05

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
5.7/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 16.4/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 12.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,339
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,473.94
Current Value
$10,388.07
Period P&L
$914.13
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
66
Winners / Losers
37 / 29
Best Trade
+2.56%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,305,231.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$914.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$914.13
Gross Return
+9.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 66 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,473.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 10:10am ET $104.93 90 $9,443.25
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 10:40am ET $104.20 90 $9,378.00 $9,408.69 $-65.25
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 11:40am ET $107.00 87 $9,309.00
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 12:10pm ET $107.24 87 $9,329.88 $9,429.57 +$20.88
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 11:40am ET $109.97 85 $9,347.03
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:00am ET $108.57 85 $9,228.45 $9,310.99 $-118.58
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 11:20am ET $107.66 86 $9,258.33
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 11:50am ET $107.62 86 $9,255.19 $9,307.85 $-3.14
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $103.05 90 $9,274.50
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 2:05pm ET $103.40 90 $9,306.00 $9,339.35 +$31.50
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:30am ET $103.88 89 $9,245.32
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 11:00am ET $103.79 89 $9,236.87 $9,330.90 $-8.45
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 10:45am ET $104.27 89 $9,279.59
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 11:15am ET $105.25 89 $9,366.81 $9,418.12 +$87.22
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 12:25pm ET $105.40 89 $9,380.60
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $107.53 89 $9,570.17 $9,607.69 +$189.57
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $107.30 89 $9,549.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 1:30pm ET $107.28 89 $9,547.92 $9,605.91 $-1.78
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 2:35pm ET $108.25 88 $9,526.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 3:05pm ET $109.66 88 $9,649.64 $9,729.55 +$123.64
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 3:10pm ET $109.65 88 $9,648.76
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 2:55pm ET $112.39 88 $9,890.32 $9,971.11 +$241.56
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 1:30pm ET $114.86 86 $9,877.53
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 10:40am ET $113.65 86 $9,773.90 $9,867.48 $-103.63
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 10:45am ET $114.23 86 $9,823.78
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 11:15am ET $114.52 86 $9,848.29 $9,891.99 +$24.51
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 10:20am ET $108.96 90 $9,806.40
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:50am ET $109.37 90 $9,843.30 $9,928.89 +$36.90
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 11:40am ET $109.84 90 $9,885.60
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 11:30am ET $108.47 90 $9,762.30 $9,805.59 $-123.30
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:10am ET $108.64 90 $9,777.60
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 11:40am ET $109.82 90 $9,883.80 $9,911.79 +$106.20
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 2:15pm ET $110.99 89 $9,877.67
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 11:40am ET $111.27 89 $9,903.03 $9,937.15 +$25.36
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:15am ET $113.05 87 $9,835.35
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 10:45am ET $113.73 87 $9,894.08 $9,995.87 +$58.72
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:10am ET $114.80 87 $9,987.60
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:40am ET $115.02 87 $10,006.74 $10,015.01 +$19.14
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 1:40pm ET $115.55 86 $9,936.87
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:00am ET $114.18 86 $9,819.48 $9,897.62 $-117.39
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $109.82 90 $9,883.35
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $109.94 90 $9,894.60 $9,908.87 +$11.25
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 12:35pm ET $110.44 89 $9,829.16
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 1:05pm ET $110.68 89 $9,850.52 $9,930.23 +$21.36
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 12:00pm ET $112.62 88 $9,910.12
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 12:30pm ET $112.23 88 $9,876.24 $9,896.35 $-33.88
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:05am ET $107.18 92 $9,860.56
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:35am ET $106.40 92 $9,788.34 $9,824.13 $-72.22
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 3:30pm ET $107.14 91 $9,749.74
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 10:00am ET $106.08 91 $9,653.28 $9,727.67 $-96.46
(-1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 11:00am ET $107.12 90 $9,640.35
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 11:30am ET $106.73 90 $9,605.25 $9,692.57 $-35.10
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 11:35am ET $106.83 90 $9,614.70
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $107.02 90 $9,631.80 $9,709.67 +$17.10
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $107.43 90 $9,668.70
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 10:25am ET $108.53 90 $9,767.70 $9,808.67 +$99.00
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 12:45pm ET $109.33 89 $9,729.93
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 1:15pm ET $111.09 89 $9,886.57 $9,965.31 +$156.64
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $111.13 89 $9,890.57
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 1:50pm ET $111.55 89 $9,927.95 $10,002.69 +$37.38
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 1:45pm ET $113.35 88 $9,974.80
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 2:15pm ET $114.36 88 $10,064.06 $10,091.95 +$89.26
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 11:30am ET $112.55 89 $10,016.95
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET $111.08 89 $9,886.12 $9,961.12 $-130.83
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 11:30am ET $114.45 87 $9,957.15
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 12:00pm ET $114.91 87 $9,997.16 $10,001.13 +$40.01
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:30am ET $114.54 87 $9,964.98
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 11:00am ET $115.40 87 $10,039.80 $10,075.95 +$74.82
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 1:25pm ET $115.90 86 $9,967.39
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 1:55pm ET $117.70 86 $10,122.20 $10,230.76 +$154.81
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 12:35pm ET $113.45 90 $10,210.05
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 1:05pm ET $114.18 90 $10,276.20 $10,296.91 +$66.15
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 11:15am ET $114.82 89 $10,218.54
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 11:45am ET $113.92 89 $10,138.88 $10,217.26 $-79.65
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:25am ET $112.37 90 $10,113.30
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:55am ET $112.39 90 $10,115.10 $10,219.06 +$1.80
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 11:40am ET $112.87 90 $10,158.30
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $112.40 90 $10,116.00 $10,176.76 $-42.30
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:10am ET $114.17 89 $10,161.13
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 10:40am ET $115.65 89 $10,292.85 $10,308.48 +$131.72
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 12:05pm ET $116.51 88 $10,252.88
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 10:15am ET $115.33 88 $10,149.04 $10,204.64 $-103.84
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 2:45pm ET $114.15 89 $10,159.35
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $114.22 89 $10,165.14 $10,210.42 +$5.78
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET $117.32 87 $10,206.58
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET $115.71 87 $10,066.77 $10,070.61 $-139.81
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 1:55pm ET $117.90 85 $10,021.08
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 2:25pm ET $120.31 85 $10,226.35 $10,275.89 +$205.28
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:05pm ET $119.71 85 $10,175.35
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:00am ET $117.61 85 $9,996.43 $10,096.97 $-178.92
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 12:35pm ET $119.04 84 $9,998.94
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:05pm ET $118.64 84 $9,965.76 $10,063.79 $-33.18
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:25am ET $118.25 85 $10,051.25
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $116.21 85 $9,877.85 $9,890.39 $-173.40
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:10am ET $117.40 84 $9,861.18
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $117.93 84 $9,906.12 $9,935.33 +$44.94
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:15am ET $115.35 86 $9,920.10
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 11:45am ET $116.34 86 $10,004.81 $10,020.04 +$84.71
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:30am ET $117.60 85 $9,996.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:00pm ET $117.14 85 $9,956.90 $9,980.94 $-39.10
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:35am ET $118.09 84 $9,919.31
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:35pm ET $116.86 84 $9,816.24 $9,877.87 $-103.07
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 3:25pm ET $119.73 82 $9,817.86
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $119.55 82 $9,803.10 $9,863.11 $-14.76
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $116.37 84 $9,774.66
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:25am ET $116.87 84 $9,817.08 $9,905.53 +$42.42
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:00pm ET $119.60 82 $9,807.19
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:25am ET $119.39 82 $9,789.57 $9,887.91 $-17.62
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:30am ET $120.74 81 $9,780.20
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:00am ET $120.83 81 $9,787.23 $9,894.94 +$7.03
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $120.77 81 $9,782.37
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET $123.81 81 $10,028.61 $10,141.18 +$246.24
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET $120.61 84 $10,131.24
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET $123.67 84 $10,388.28 $10,398.22 +$257.04
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $124.40 83 $10,324.79
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $123.15 83 $10,221.04 $10,294.47 $-103.75
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:45am ET $126.94 81 $10,282.14
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:45am ET $125.65 81 $10,177.25 $10,189.57 $-104.90
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $129.76 78 $10,121.28
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET $130.01 78 $10,140.96 $10,209.25 +$19.68
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $140.66 72 $10,127.55
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET $138.85 72 $9,996.84 $10,078.54 $-130.71
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET $141.84 71 $10,070.29
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $145.47 71 $10,328.37 $10,336.62 +$258.08
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET $146.46 70 $10,252.20
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $144.45 70 $10,111.50 $10,195.92 $-140.70
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $148.68 68 $10,110.24
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $149.54 68 $10,168.72 $10,254.40 +$58.48
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $151.38 67 $10,142.46
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $155.20 67 $10,398.40 $10,510.34 +$255.94
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:25am ET $156.45 67 $10,482.15
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET $154.63 67 $10,359.88 $10,388.07 $-122.27
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,388.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$388.07
Total Return: +3.88%
Back to Surge