Compendium › Surge › ABBV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ABBV
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+1.27%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,616.77
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$11,470.93
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,760
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,470.93
Current Value
$11,616.77
Period P&L
$145.84
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+2.88%
Worst Trade
-1.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$91,025.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$145.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$145.84
Gross Return
+1.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,470.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $221.83 51 $11,313.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $221.67 51 $11,305.17 $11,462.77 $-8.16
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $225.50 50 $11,275.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $222.79 50 $11,139.50 $11,327.27 $-135.50
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $224.79 50 $11,239.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $231.26 50 $11,563.25 $11,651.02 +$323.75
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET $232.24 50 $11,611.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.55 50 $11,577.50 $11,616.77 $-34.25
(-0.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,616.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,616.77
Total Return: +16.17%
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