Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:23:46

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 17.8/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 17.3

30-Day Momentum

30
+19.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.5 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,424.87
Current Value
$11,973.23
Period P&L
$4,548.36
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.65

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+23.81%
Worst Trade
-6.72%
Avg Trade Return
+7.74%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$144,690.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,548.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,548.36
Gross Return
+61.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+61.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,424.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $0.9975 7,443 $7,424.39
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1.24 7,443 $9,192.11 $9,192.58 +$1,767.71
(+23.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1.32 6,990 $9,191.85
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:50am ET $1.51 6,990 $10,589.85 $10,590.58 +$1,398.00
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1.67 6,341 $10,589.47
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $1.58 6,341 $10,012.44 $10,013.55 $-577.03
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1.47 6,799 $10,012.89
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:45am ET $1.71 6,799 $11,656.89 $11,657.55 +$1,644.00
(+16.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $2.11 5,514 $11,656.60
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1.97 5,514 $10,873.06 $10,874.01 $-783.54
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $1.92 5,672 $10,873.79
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET $1.82 5,672 $10,323.04 $10,323.26 $-550.75
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $2.00 5,161 $10,322.00
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $2.32 5,161 $11,971.97 $11,973.23 +$1,649.97
(+16.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,973.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,973.23
Total Return: +19.73%
Back to Surge