Compendium › Surge › AMC
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMC
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+38.62%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,590.58
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$7,640.02
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
7.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 11.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 10.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,770
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,640.02
Current Value
$10,590.58
Period P&L
$2,950.56
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.83

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+23.81%
Worst Trade
-1.83%
Avg Trade Return
+9.05%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$66,584.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,950.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,950.56
Gross Return
+38.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,640.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $1.49 5,144 $7,638.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $1.47 5,144 $7,562.19 $7,563.37 $-76.65
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $1.37 5,540 $7,562.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $1.34 5,540 $7,423.60 $7,424.87 $-138.50
(-1.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $0.9975 7,443 $7,424.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1.24 7,443 $9,192.11 $9,192.58 +$1,767.71
(+23.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1.32 6,990 $9,191.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:50am ET $1.51 6,990 $10,589.85 $10,590.58 +$1,398.00
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,590.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$590.58
Total Return: +5.91%
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