Compendium › Surge › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 5 trades in period

+10.86%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,857.78
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$12,499.74
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.8/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 37.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 37.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,890
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,499.74
Current Value
$13,857.78
Period P&L
$1,358.04
Max Drawdown
-10.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+15.04%
Worst Trade
-5.07%
Avg Trade Return
+2.33%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$131,303.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,358.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,358.04
Gross Return
+10.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,499.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET $205.77 60 $12,346.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $211.39 60 $12,683.40 $12,836.74 +$337.00
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:00am ET $209.71 61 $12,792.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:30am ET $209.96 61 $12,807.86 $12,852.29 +$15.55
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:30am ET $200.30 64 $12,819.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $197.99 64 $12,671.36 $12,704.13 $-148.16
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.99 56 $12,543.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $257.68 56 $14,430.08 $14,590.77 +$1,886.64
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $273.04 53 $14,471.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $259.21 53 $13,738.13 $13,857.78 $-732.99
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,857.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,857.78
Total Return: +38.58%
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