Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:32:36

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.3/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 48.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 48.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$21,295.84
Current Value
$19,524.84
Period P&L
$-1,771.00
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+15.91%
Worst Trade
-7.03%
Avg Trade Return
-1.60%
Avg Hold Time
7.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$212,360.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,771.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,771.00
Gross Return
-8.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $21,295.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $203.68 105 $21,386.40
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $190.04 105 $19,954.20 $20,106.07 $-1,432.20
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $164.45 122 $20,062.90
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $190.62 122 $23,255.64 $23,298.81 +$3,192.74
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $205.16 113 $23,183.08
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $194.87 113 $22,019.75 $22,135.48 $-1,163.33
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 111 $22,133.95
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $185.40 111 $20,578.85 $20,580.37 $-1,555.11
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $171.60 119 $20,420.40
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $162.73 119 $19,364.87 $19,524.84 $-1,055.53
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,524.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,524.84
Total Return: +95.25%
Back to Surge