Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:26:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,492.77
Current Value
$9,222.99
Period P&L
$-2,269.78
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-12.55

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-5.04%
Worst Trade
-6.13%
Avg Trade Return
-5.41%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$81,753.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,269.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,269.78
Gross Return
-19.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,492.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $184.21 62 $11,420.71
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $174.41 62 $10,813.42 $10,885.48 $-607.29
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $183.20 59 $10,808.51
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:35am ET $173.96 59 $10,263.64 $10,340.61 $-544.87
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $185.05 55 $10,177.75
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $173.70 55 $9,553.50 $9,716.36 $-624.25
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $200.10 48 $9,604.73
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $189.82 48 $9,111.36 $9,222.99 $-493.37
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,222.99
Net Profit/Loss: $-777.01
Total Return: -7.77%
Back to Surge