Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:25:56

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.6/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 26.2/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 25.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,160.44
Current Value
$14,516.06
Period P&L
$2,355.62
Max Drawdown
-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+15.20%
Worst Trade
-6.53%
Avg Trade Return
+2.69%
Avg Hold Time
9.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$129,926.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,355.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,355.62
Gross Return
+19.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,160.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $445.55 29 $12,920.95
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $416.44 29 $12,076.76 $12,163.77 $-844.19
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $447.65 27 $12,086.55
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $424.34 27 $11,457.18 $11,534.40 $-629.37
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $408.34 28 $11,433.52
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $470.40 28 $13,171.20 $13,272.08 +$1,737.68
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
4 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $488.00 27 $13,176.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $561.70 27 $15,165.90 $15,261.98 +$1,989.90
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 21 $14,592.27
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $659.35 21 $13,846.35 $14,516.06 $-745.92
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,516.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,516.06
Total Return: +45.16%
Back to Surge