Compendium › Surge › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+7.91%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,543.59
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$9,770.68
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 15.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 11.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,833
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,770.68
Current Value
$10,543.59
Period P&L
$772.91
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
2.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+2.65%
Worst Trade
+0.59%
Avg Trade Return
+1.79%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$80,983.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$772.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$772.91
Gross Return
+7.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,770.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET $82.77 118 $9,766.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET $83.89 118 $9,899.61 $9,957.71 +$132.75
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $84.44 117 $9,879.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:25am ET $86.68 117 $10,140.98 $10,219.21 +$261.50
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $86.57 118 $10,215.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $87.08 118 $10,276.03 $10,279.39 +$60.18
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET $74.97 137 $10,270.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $76.89 137 $10,534.61 $10,543.59 +$264.20
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,543.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$543.59
Total Return: +5.44%
Back to Surge