Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,081.61
Current Value
$8,377.13
Period P&L
$-704.48
Max Drawdown
-24.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.91

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
0 / 5
Best Trade
-0.02%
Worst Trade
-5.06%
Avg Trade Return
-1.62%
Avg Hold Time
9.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$86,637.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-704.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-704.48
Gross Return
-7.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,081.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $386.13 23 $8,880.99
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $381.06 23 $8,764.38 $8,965.00 $-116.61
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $389.37 23 $8,955.51
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET $385.44 23 $8,865.12 $8,874.61 $-90.39
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:55am ET $390.07 22 $8,581.54
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:25pm ET $390.00 22 $8,580.00 $8,873.07 $-1.54
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:30am ET $393.24 22 $8,651.39
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.48 22 $8,590.56 $8,812.24 $-60.83
(-0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $330.82 26 $8,601.32
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $314.08 26 $8,166.21 $8,377.13 $-435.11
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,377.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,622.87
Total Return: -16.23%
Back to Surge