Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:26:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.4/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 36.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,319.58
Current Value
$19,597.46
Period P&L
$1,277.88
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+15.92%
Worst Trade
-5.91%
Avg Trade Return
+1.59%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$204,979.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,277.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,277.88
Gross Return
+6.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $18,319.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 254 $18,300.70
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $67.79 254 $17,219.93 $17,238.81 $-1,080.77
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $71.20 242 $17,230.40
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 242 $16,260.95 $16,269.36 $-969.45
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 211 $16,239.61
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET $73.04 211 $15,412.49 $15,442.24 $-827.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 205 $15,424.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $86.73 205 $17,779.65 $17,797.69 +$2,355.45
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 197 $17,749.70
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $85.58 197 $16,858.57 $16,906.56 $-891.13
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $86.26 196 $16,906.16
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $99.99 196 $19,597.06 $19,597.46 +$2,690.90
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,597.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,597.46
Total Return: +95.97%
Back to Surge