Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:04:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.7/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 27.8/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,879
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,042.29
Current Value
$14,656.79
Period P&L
$2,614.50
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+21.66%
Worst Trade
-6.07%
Avg Trade Return
+3.88%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$139,858.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,614.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,614.50
Gross Return
+21.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,042.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $49.97 240 $11,992.80
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $48.81 240 $11,713.20 $11,762.69 $-279.60
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $47.28 248 $11,725.47
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $46.80 248 $11,605.53 $11,642.76 $-119.93
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $48.00 242 $11,616.00
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $45.08 242 $10,910.57 $10,937.33 $-705.43
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $45.89 238 $10,921.82
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $43.55 238 $10,364.90 $10,380.41 $-556.92
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $45.43 228 $10,358.04
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $52.78 228 $12,033.84 $12,056.21 +$1,675.80
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $67.46 178 $12,007.88
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $82.07 178 $14,608.46 $14,656.79 +$2,600.58
(+21.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,656.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,656.79
Total Return: +46.57%
Back to Surge