Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:23:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-17.5%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,887
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,496.99
Current Value
$7,622.27
Period P&L
$-1,874.72
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.72

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+2.60%
Worst Trade
-7.95%
Avg Trade Return
-2.64%
Avg Hold Time
13.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$148,380.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,874.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,874.72
Gross Return
-19.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,496.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET $10.04 945 $9,487.80
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:20am ET $10.30 945 $9,733.50 $9,742.69 +$245.70
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $10.98 887 $9,739.26
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:15am ET $11.27 887 $9,992.06 $9,995.49 +$252.80
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:20am ET $11.25 888 $9,990.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $11.12 888 $9,874.56 $9,880.05 $-115.44
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET $10.21 968 $9,879.12
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET $10.08 968 $9,757.44 $9,758.37 $-121.68
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $10.63 918 $9,753.75
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $10.06 918 $9,235.08 $9,239.70 $-518.67
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.24 1,000 $9,237.70
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $8.77 1,000 $8,770.00 $8,772.00 $-467.70
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $9.72 902 $8,762.93
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET $9.17 902 $8,271.34 $8,280.41 $-491.59
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $7.24 1,144 $8,276.84
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $6.66 1,144 $7,618.70 $7,622.27 $-658.14
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,622.27
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,377.73
Total Return: -23.78%
Back to Surge