Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:30:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 38.5/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 35.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,380.05
Current Value
$14,387.12
Period P&L
$1,007.07
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+15.03%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
+1.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$129,768.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,007.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,007.07
Gross Return
+7.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,380.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET $675.09 20 $13,501.80
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $650.39 20 $13,007.80 $13,387.85 $-494.00
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $673.59 19 $12,798.21
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $674.21 19 $12,809.99 $13,399.63 +$11.78
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $648.77 20 $12,975.40
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $641.26 20 $12,825.10 $13,249.33 $-150.30
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $630.18 21 $13,233.78
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET $597.58 21 $12,549.11 $12,564.66 $-684.67
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $551.01 22 $12,122.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET $633.85 22 $13,944.70 $14,387.12 +$1,822.46
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,387.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,387.12
Total Return: +43.87%
Back to Surge