Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.6/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
6.4/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 70.8/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 68.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,884
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$25,132.87
Current Value
$38,105.42
Period P&L
$12,972.55
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.60

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+18.92%
Worst Trade
-5.05%
Avg Trade Return
+5.11%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$475,572.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$12,972.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$12,972.55
Gross Return
+51.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+51.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $25,132.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $395.69 63 $24,928.46
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $383.05 63 $24,132.30 $24,336.71 $-796.16
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $391.42 62 $24,268.35
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $387.37 62 $24,016.94 $24,085.30 $-251.41
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:10am ET $381.20 63 $24,015.91
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $376.54 63 $23,722.02 $23,791.41 $-293.89
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $411.76 57 $23,470.32
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET $429.02 57 $24,454.42 $24,775.51 +$984.10
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:30am ET $409.01 60 $24,540.65
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $419.89 60 $25,193.39 $25,428.26 +$652.75
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 56 $25,006.24
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 56 $23,744.00 $24,166.02 $-1,262.24
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 69 $24,031.32
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 69 $28,578.76 $28,713.46 +$4,547.44
(+18.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 65 $28,340.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $502.30 65 $32,649.82 $33,023.28 +$4,309.82
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 62 $32,698.80
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 62 $37,780.94 $38,105.42 +$5,082.14
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $38,105.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$28,105.42
Total Return: +281.05%
Back to Surge