Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:28:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

70
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.8/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 72.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 69.9

30-Day Momentum

10
+4.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.7 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-60 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$24,166.02
Current Value
$41,752.11
Period P&L
$17,586.09
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.68

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+18.92%
Worst Trade
-9.77%
Avg Trade Return
+7.76%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$609,512.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$17,586.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$17,586.09
Gross Return
+72.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+72.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $24,166.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 69 $24,031.32
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 69 $28,578.76 $28,713.46 +$4,547.44
(+18.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 65 $28,340.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $502.30 65 $32,649.82 $33,023.28 +$4,309.82
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 62 $32,698.80
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 62 $37,780.94 $38,105.42 +$5,082.14
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
4 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $679.00 56 $38,024.00
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $791.74 56 $44,337.72 $44,419.14 +$6,313.72
(+16.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
5 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $811.00 54 $43,794.11
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 54 $39,515.04 $40,140.07 $-4,279.07
(-9.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $822.46 48 $39,478.08
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $955.96 48 $45,886.08 $46,548.07 +$6,408.00
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,009.50 46 $46,437.00
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $953.80 46 $43,874.80 $43,985.87 $-2,562.20
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $938.26 46 $43,159.96
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $889.70 46 $40,926.20 $41,752.11 $-2,233.76
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $41,752.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$31,752.11
Total Return: +317.52%
Back to Surge