Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 17.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,870
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,870.55
Current Value
$11,472.43
Period P&L
$601.88
Max Drawdown
-31.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+16.98%
Worst Trade
-5.41%
Avg Trade Return
+1.17%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$138,329.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$601.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$601.88
Gross Return
+5.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,870.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:10am ET $4.93 2,207 $10,869.48
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET $5.05 2,207 $11,156.38 $11,157.46 +$286.91
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $5.03 2,215 $11,152.52
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $4.98 2,215 $11,030.70 $11,035.64 $-121.82
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:20am ET $5.09 2,168 $11,035.12
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET $5.03 2,168 $10,915.88 $10,916.40 $-119.24
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $5.27 2,071 $10,914.17
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET $6.16 2,071 $12,767.71 $12,769.94 +$1,853.54
(+17.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $5.63 2,270 $12,768.75
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $5.34 2,270 $12,126.57 $12,127.76 $-642.18
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $6.29 1,928 $12,123.84
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $5.95 1,928 $11,468.52 $11,472.43 $-655.33
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,472.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,472.43
Total Return: +14.72%
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