Compendium › Surge › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+3.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,194.29
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,825.81
Period Start
Login to Apply

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 13.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,878
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,825.81
Current Value
$11,194.29
Period P&L
$368.48
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.65

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+3.18%
Worst Trade
-1.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.14%
Avg Hold Time
9.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$66,327.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$368.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$368.48
Gross Return
+3.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,825.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $40.74 265 $10,797.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $42.04 265 $11,140.60 $11,168.99 +$343.18
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $42.29 264 $11,165.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:55am ET $41.84 264 $11,045.76 $11,048.87 $-120.12
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:50am ET $39.77 277 $11,016.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.29 277 $11,161.71 $11,194.29 +$145.42
(+1.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,194.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,194.29
Total Return: +11.94%
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