Compendium › Surge › SNOW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SNOW
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 5 trades in period

-2.46%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,512.72
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$5,651.62
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:51:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,839
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,651.62
Current Value
$5,512.72
Period P&L
$-138.90
Max Drawdown
-52.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+6.15%
Worst Trade
-5.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.41%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$58,122.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-138.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-138.90
Gross Return
-2.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $5,651.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET $168.59 33 $5,563.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $173.61 33 $5,729.13 $5,817.44 +$165.82
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET $174.19 33 $5,748.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $184.91 33 $6,102.03 $6,171.20 +$353.76
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $183.47 33 $6,054.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.77 33 $5,998.41 $6,115.10 $-56.10
(-0.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $180.70 33 $5,963.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $171.34 33 $5,654.06 $5,806.06 $-309.04
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $156.80 37 $5,801.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $148.87 37 $5,508.26 $5,512.72 $-293.34
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,512.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,487.28
Total Return: -44.87%
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