Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:15

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score PRO Scored May 6, 2026

74
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
22.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
11.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 74.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 74.4

30-Day Momentum

60
+87.1%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 91.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$32,227.60
Current Value
$64,763.30
Period P&L
$32,535.70
Max Drawdown
-33.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.78

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+22.00%
Worst Trade
-6.08%
Avg Trade Return
+7.69%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$783,500.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$32,535.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$32,535.70
Gross Return
+100.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+100.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $32,227.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:35am ET $60.90 529 $32,216.10
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $62.88 529 $33,263.52 $33,275.02 +$1,047.42
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $63.28 525 $33,222.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $64.90 525 $34,073.13 $34,126.15 +$851.13
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:30am ET $65.72 519 $34,108.68
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET $64.65 519 $33,553.35 $33,570.82 $-555.33
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.14 643 $33,526.08
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $49.06 643 $31,545.58 $31,590.32 $-1,980.50
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $54.38 580 $31,540.40
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $51.07 580 $29,621.76 $29,671.68 $-1,918.64
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $42.83 692 $29,634.90
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $49.97 692 $34,582.70 $34,619.48 +$4,947.80
(+16.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.63 633 $34,580.79
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $66.65 633 $42,188.56 $42,227.25 +$7,607.77
(+22.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $74.81 564 $42,192.84
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $86.11 564 $48,565.59 $48,600.00 +$6,372.75
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $98.35 494 $48,582.43
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $113.27 494 $55,955.38 $55,972.95 +$7,372.95
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $114.74 487 $55,878.38
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $132.79 487 $64,668.73 $64,763.30 +$8,790.35
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $64,763.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$54,763.30
Total Return: +547.63%
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