Compendium › Surge › SQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 5 trades in period

+4.52%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,484.66
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$10,031.34
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:39

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
6.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 12.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 11.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,879
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,031.34
Current Value
$10,484.66
Period P&L
$453.32
Max Drawdown
-38.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+15.09%
Worst Trade
-5.78%
Avg Trade Return
+1.16%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$105,758.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$453.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$453.32
Gross Return
+4.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,031.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $69.29 144 $9,978.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $68.57 144 $9,874.07 $9,926.93 $-104.41
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET $70.07 141 $9,879.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:15am ET $71.89 141 $10,137.19 $10,184.25 +$257.32
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $77.46 131 $10,147.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $89.15 131 $11,678.64 $11,715.63 +$1,531.38
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $81.43 143 $11,644.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $76.72 143 $10,970.96 $11,042.10 $-673.53
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $54.20 203 $11,002.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $51.45 203 $10,445.16 $10,484.66 $-557.44
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,484.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$484.66
Total Return: +4.85%
Back to Surge