Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 32.6/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 29.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,880
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,122.16
Current Value
$17,281.82
Period P&L
$4,159.66
Max Drawdown
-37.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+24.20%
Worst Trade
-5.50%
Avg Trade Return
+4.50%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$191,048.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,159.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,159.66
Gross Return
+31.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,122.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET $49.79 263 $13,094.77
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $51.15 263 $13,453.37 $13,480.76 +$358.60
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $51.17 263 $13,457.24
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $52.05 263 $13,688.34 $13,711.86 +$231.10
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:30am ET $49.10 279 $13,698.70
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET $48.31 279 $13,478.49 $13,491.65 $-220.21
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $47.35 284 $13,448.82
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $44.75 284 $12,709.00 $12,751.83 $-739.82
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $45.06 282 $12,706.92
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $42.71 282 $12,043.80 $12,088.71 $-663.12
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $39.25 307 $12,049.75
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 307 $14,966.25 $15,005.21 +$2,916.50
(+24.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $57.87 259 $14,988.33
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $66.66 259 $17,264.94 $17,281.82 +$2,276.61
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,281.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,281.82
Total Return: +72.82%
Back to Surge