Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
7.0/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 14.4/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 13.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,868
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,992.77
Current Value
$10,597.75
Period P&L
$1,604.98
Max Drawdown
-41.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.53

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+15.40%
Worst Trade
-1.16%
Avg Trade Return
+3.01%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,745.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,604.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,604.98
Gross Return
+17.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,992.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:35am ET $274.27 32 $8,776.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $279.52 32 $8,944.64 $9,160.61 +$167.84
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $279.92 32 $8,957.45
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $276.68 32 $8,853.79 $9,056.95 $-103.66
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:20am ET $275.53 32 $8,816.96
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:25am ET $283.20 32 $9,062.40 $9,302.39 +$245.44
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $282.17 32 $9,029.60
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET $279.31 32 $8,938.00 $9,210.79 $-91.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $292.38 31 $9,063.78
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $292.78 31 $9,076.18 $9,223.19 +$12.40
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $307.79 29 $8,925.91
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $355.19 29 $10,300.47 $10,597.75 +$1,374.56
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,597.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$597.75
Total Return: +5.98%
Back to Surge