Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:15:58

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 15.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,847
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,701.57
Current Value
$10,814.25
Period P&L
$3,112.68
Max Drawdown
-35.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+19.01%
Worst Trade
-6.05%
Avg Trade Return
+4.79%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$136,270.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,112.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,112.68
Gross Return
+40.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+40.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,701.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:20am ET $77.40 99 $7,662.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $77.85 99 $7,707.15 $7,746.12 +$44.55
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $78.19 99 $7,741.30
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $77.65 99 $7,687.35 $7,692.17 $-53.95
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $76.51 100 $7,651.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $76.11 100 $7,611.00 $7,652.17 $-40.00
(-0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $94.44 81 $7,649.64
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $108.66 81 $8,801.46 $8,803.99 +$1,151.82
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $115.07 76 $8,745.17
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $108.11 76 $8,216.35 $8,275.17 $-528.82
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $116.71 70 $8,169.70
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $138.90 70 $9,723.00 $9,828.47 +$1,553.30
(+19.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 73 $9,728.07
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $126.26 73 $9,216.98 $9,317.38 $-511.09
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $119.89 77 $9,231.53
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $139.33 77 $10,728.40 $10,814.25 +$1,496.87
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,814.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$814.25
Total Return: +8.14%
Back to Surge