Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:18:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.5/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 20.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,865
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,737.82
Current Value
$12,727.07
Period P&L
$-1,010.75
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+16.96%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.61%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$249,077.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,010.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,010.75
Gross Return
-7.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,737.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $36.18 379 $13,712.22
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $37.37 379 $14,163.23 $14,188.83 +$451.01
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET $37.51 378 $14,179.31
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET $37.02 378 $13,993.56 $14,003.08 $-185.75
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET $36.47 383 $13,969.12
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET $37.40 383 $14,322.29 $14,356.24 +$353.16
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.20 285 $14,307.00
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $47.26 285 $13,470.52 $13,519.76 $-836.48
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $49.63 272 $13,499.36
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:05am ET $47.08 272 $12,807.12 $12,827.52 $-692.24
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $47.25 271 $12,805.10
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $55.26 271 $14,976.81 $14,999.23 +$2,171.71
(+17.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $52.24 287 $14,992.88
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $49.49 287 $14,202.20 $14,208.54 $-790.69
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $56.76 250 $14,190.00
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $53.53 250 $13,381.25 $13,399.79 $-808.75
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.10 243 $13,388.91
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $52.33 243 $12,716.19 $12,727.07 $-672.72
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,727.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,727.07
Total Return: +27.27%
Back to Surge