Compendium › Surge › ABBV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ABBV
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 26 trades in period

+6.70%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,616.77
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,887.62
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,326
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,887.62
Current Value
$11,616.77
Period P&L
$729.15
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
12 / 14
Best Trade
+3.60%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$574,497.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$729.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$729.15
Gross Return
+6.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,887.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 10:50am ET $218.02 49 $10,682.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 11:20am ET $218.59 49 $10,710.91 $10,915.55 +$27.93
(+0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:50am ET $222.81 48 $10,694.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $228.47 48 $10,966.32 $11,186.99 +$271.44
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET $229.45 48 $11,013.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $237.72 48 $11,410.56 $11,583.95 +$396.96
(+3.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 11:20am ET $238.64 48 $11,454.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 2:00pm ET $236.25 48 $11,340.00 $11,469.23 $-114.72
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 2:45pm ET $234.95 48 $11,277.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $232.44 48 $11,157.12 $11,348.75 $-120.48
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $235.75 48 $11,316.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET $234.67 48 $11,263.92 $11,296.55 $-52.20
(-0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:25am ET $227.91 49 $11,167.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:55am ET $229.29 49 $11,235.21 $11,364.17 +$67.62
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:35am ET $228.19 49 $11,181.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $224.55 49 $11,002.71 $11,185.56 $-178.61
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:15am ET $225.74 49 $11,061.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:45am ET $225.01 49 $11,025.49 $11,149.79 $-35.77
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET $226.32 49 $11,089.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:40am ET $225.98 49 $11,073.02 $11,133.13 $-16.66
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 12:05pm ET $228.27 48 $10,956.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 12:35pm ET $229.20 48 $11,001.60 $11,177.77 +$44.64
(+0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:05am ET $231.86 48 $11,129.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:15am ET $229.34 48 $11,008.32 $11,056.81 $-120.96
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $229.43 48 $11,012.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $220.75 48 $10,596.00 $10,640.17 $-416.64
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:45am ET $229.68 46 $10,565.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $235.97 46 $10,854.62 $10,929.51 +$289.34
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:10am ET $216.89 50 $10,844.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $214.67 50 $10,733.25 $10,818.26 $-111.25
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET $213.97 50 $10,698.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $214.90 50 $10,745.00 $10,864.76 +$46.50
(+0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $216.08 50 $10,804.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $218.09 50 $10,904.50 $10,965.26 +$100.50
(+0.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $218.15 50 $10,907.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $219.05 50 $10,952.50 $11,010.26 +$45.00
(+0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:20am ET $223.97 49 $10,974.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $221.44 49 $10,850.56 $10,886.29 $-123.97
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:55am ET $221.60 49 $10,858.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET $221.20 49 $10,838.80 $10,866.69 $-19.60
(-0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $222.65 48 $10,687.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET $229.02 48 $10,992.96 $11,172.45 +$305.76
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $212.81 52 $11,066.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $218.55 52 $11,364.60 $11,470.93 +$298.48
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $221.83 51 $11,313.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $221.67 51 $11,305.17 $11,462.77 $-8.16
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $225.50 50 $11,275.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $222.79 50 $11,139.50 $11,327.27 $-135.50
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $224.79 50 $11,239.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $231.26 50 $11,563.25 $11,651.02 +$323.75
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET $232.24 50 $11,611.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.55 50 $11,577.50 $11,616.77 $-34.25
(-0.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,616.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,616.77
Total Return: +16.17%
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