Compendium › Surge › AMD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 25 trades in period

+25.74%
Last 6 Months Return
$22,017.10
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$17,510.41
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:51:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.4/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 44.9/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 43.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,236
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,510.41
Current Value
$22,017.10
Period P&L
$4,506.69
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
9 / 16
Best Trade
+17.45%
Worst Trade
-8.41%
Avg Trade Return
+1.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$784,245.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,506.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,506.69
Gross Return
+25.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $17,510.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 11:40am ET $253.97 68 $17,269.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $241.46 68 $16,419.28 $16,499.24 $-850.68
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:20am ET $247.34 66 $16,324.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:55am ET $244.65 66 $16,147.15 $16,321.95 $-177.29
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET $260.01 62 $16,120.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:45pm ET $255.61 62 $15,847.82 $16,049.15 $-272.80
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:05am ET $256.38 62 $15,895.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET $253.50 62 $15,716.69 $15,870.21 $-178.94
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:10am ET $233.46 67 $15,641.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:00am ET $230.70 67 $15,457.08 $15,685.81 $-184.40
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 11:25am ET $213.92 73 $15,615.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $195.92 73 $14,302.16 $14,372.17 $-1,313.64
(-8.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:25pm ET $204.11 70 $14,287.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET $210.96 70 $14,767.20 $14,851.76 +$479.59
(+3.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:20am ET $213.67 69 $14,742.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 11:50am ET $217.11 69 $14,980.59 $15,089.41 +$237.65
(+1.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:50pm ET $220.70 68 $15,007.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET $218.08 68 $14,829.44 $14,911.25 $-178.16
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:40am ET $218.09 68 $14,829.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:05am ET $215.68 68 $14,666.24 $14,747.54 $-163.71
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:10am ET $223.01 66 $14,718.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:35am ET $220.31 66 $14,540.46 $14,569.64 $-177.90
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:00am ET $221.71 65 $14,411.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 10:30am ET $220.07 65 $14,304.55 $14,463.04 $-106.60
(-0.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:35pm ET $218.53 66 $14,422.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET $216.09 66 $14,261.94 $14,302.00 $-161.04
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:25pm ET $212.45 67 $14,234.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:55pm ET $214.80 67 $14,391.59 $14,459.44 +$157.44
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET $209.07 69 $14,425.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $220.58 69 $15,220.02 $15,253.98 +$794.54
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET $219.60 69 $15,152.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $236.67 69 $16,329.89 $16,431.69 +$1,177.71
(+7.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET $237.51 69 $16,388.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $234.83 69 $16,202.93 $16,246.42 $-185.27
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $234.93 69 $16,210.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $232.36 69 $16,032.84 $16,069.09 $-177.33
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $246.89 65 $16,047.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $244.41 65 $15,886.65 $15,908.21 $-160.88
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET $254.96 62 $15,807.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:25am ET $252.34 62 $15,645.38 $15,746.38 $-161.83
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $248.15 63 $15,633.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $245.56 63 $15,470.28 $15,582.89 $-163.49
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $208.23 74 $15,409.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $214.40 74 $15,865.97 $16,039.84 +$456.95
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $214.79 74 $15,894.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:10am ET $217.63 74 $16,104.92 $16,250.30 +$210.46
(+1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $197.85 82 $16,223.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 82 $19,054.34 $19,080.94 +$2,830.64
(+17.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $264.93 72 $19,074.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $305.71 72 $22,011.12 $22,017.10 +$2,936.16
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,017.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,017.10
Total Return: +120.17%
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