Compendium › Surge › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 26 trades in period

+3.79%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,908.74
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$11,474.09
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 25.3/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 18.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,498
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,474.09
Current Value
$11,908.74
Period P&L
$434.65
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+4.82%
Worst Trade
-1.52%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
23h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$583,363.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$434.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$434.65
Gross Return
+3.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,474.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:10am ET $320.66 35 $11,223.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:40am ET $320.13 35 $11,204.47 $11,455.46 $-18.63
(-0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:20am ET $328.88 34 $11,181.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $338.17 34 $11,497.64 $11,771.18 +$315.72
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET $342.20 34 $11,634.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET $338.15 34 $11,497.10 $11,633.65 $-137.53
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:05am ET $345.18 33 $11,390.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 11:40am ET $341.42 33 $11,266.86 $11,509.73 $-123.92
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 1:45pm ET $344.98 33 $11,384.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:35am ET $341.23 33 $11,260.59 $11,385.98 $-123.75
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET $341.11 33 $11,256.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $337.45 33 $11,135.85 $11,265.20 $-120.78
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 12:10pm ET $344.42 32 $11,021.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $344.62 32 $11,027.84 $11,271.60 +$6.40
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET $345.51 32 $11,056.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET $340.89 32 $10,908.48 $11,123.76 $-147.84
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:05am ET $341.07 32 $10,914.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 1:20pm ET $337.61 32 $10,803.52 $11,013.04 $-110.72
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:35am ET $343.98 32 $11,007.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:05pm ET $343.13 32 $10,980.16 $10,985.84 $-27.20
(-0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:30am ET $319.51 34 $10,863.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:50pm ET $316.08 34 $10,746.72 $10,869.22 $-116.62
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:30pm ET $324.16 33 $10,697.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:00pm ET $326.06 33 $10,759.98 $10,932.09 +$62.87
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:40pm ET $327.09 33 $10,793.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET $323.40 33 $10,672.20 $10,810.32 $-121.77
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 11:25am ET $330.66 32 $10,580.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:25pm ET $327.14 32 $10,468.48 $10,697.84 $-112.48
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:10pm ET $331.74 32 $10,615.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:40pm ET $330.59 32 $10,578.88 $10,661.20 $-36.64
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $326.11 32 $10,435.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $341.83 32 $10,938.56 $11,164.40 +$503.20
(+4.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $327.68 34 $11,141.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $330.49 34 $11,236.49 $11,259.77 +$95.37
(+0.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $330.52 34 $11,237.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $331.03 34 $11,254.85 $11,276.94 +$17.17
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $328.93 34 $11,183.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $338.56 34 $11,510.87 $11,604.19 +$327.25
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $337.69 34 $11,481.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $347.52 34 $11,815.51 $11,938.24 +$334.05
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET $349.30 34 $11,876.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $345.73 34 $11,754.98 $11,817.19 $-121.05
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $345.57 34 $11,749.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET $340.32 34 $11,570.88 $11,638.69 $-178.50
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:25am ET $358.40 32 $11,468.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $368.00 32 $11,776.00 $11,945.89 +$307.20
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $378.20 31 $11,724.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $374.39 31 $11,606.09 $11,827.78 $-118.11
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $366.72 32 $11,735.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $368.50 32 $11,792.00 $11,884.74 +$56.96
(+0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:05am ET $369.07 32 $11,810.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.82 32 $11,834.24 $11,908.74 +$24.00
(+0.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,908.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,908.74
Total Return: +19.09%
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