Compendium › Surge › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 26 trades in period

+19.49%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,857.78
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$11,597.85
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:00:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.8/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 37.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 37.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,229
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,597.85
Current Value
$13,857.78
Period P&L
$2,259.93
Max Drawdown
-10.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
14 / 12
Best Trade
+15.04%
Worst Trade
-5.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$639,323.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,259.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,259.93
Gross Return
+19.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,597.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 12:30pm ET $249.85 46 $11,493.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $246.61 46 $11,343.83 $11,440.76 $-149.27
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:35pm ET $244.51 46 $11,247.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:05am ET $248.67 46 $11,438.82 $11,632.14 +$191.38
(+1.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET $237.56 48 $11,402.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 3:20pm ET $235.12 48 $11,285.76 $11,515.02 $-117.12
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:25am ET $218.58 52 $11,365.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $225.86 52 $11,744.85 $11,893.97 +$378.95
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:05pm ET $226.59 52 $11,782.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:35pm ET $229.79 52 $11,949.08 $12,060.37 +$166.40
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:40pm ET $229.39 52 $11,928.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:10am ET $231.59 52 $12,042.87 $12,174.96 +$114.59
(+1.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:55am ET $236.41 51 $12,056.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:30am ET $234.01 51 $11,934.51 $12,052.51 $-122.45
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:35am ET $228.10 52 $11,860.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 11:05am ET $230.92 52 $12,007.82 $12,199.39 +$146.88
(+1.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:30am ET $227.93 53 $12,080.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $225.60 53 $11,956.54 $12,075.56 $-123.83
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:15pm ET $228.62 52 $11,887.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:45pm ET $227.92 52 $11,851.84 $12,039.42 $-36.14
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:40pm ET $229.40 52 $11,928.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 10:10am ET $231.89 52 $12,058.28 $12,168.90 +$129.48
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $233.16 52 $12,124.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET $238.32 52 $12,392.64 $12,437.22 +$268.32
(+2.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET $238.25 52 $12,388.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:55am ET $244.27 52 $12,702.10 $12,750.58 +$313.36
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET $244.74 52 $12,726.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $242.22 52 $12,595.53 $12,619.63 $-130.95
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $245.73 51 $12,532.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET $242.70 51 $12,377.45 $12,464.84 $-154.79
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $246.59 50 $12,329.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET $247.77 50 $12,388.25 $12,523.84 +$59.00
(+0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET $240.19 52 $12,489.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $237.47 52 $12,348.44 $12,382.40 $-141.44
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $235.17 52 $12,228.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $239.74 52 $12,466.48 $12,620.30 +$237.90
(+1.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $239.19 52 $12,437.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $239.06 52 $12,431.12 $12,613.62 $-6.68
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $241.50 52 $12,557.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:45am ET $243.52 52 $12,662.78 $12,718.66 +$105.04
(+0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $244.32 52 $12,704.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $240.11 52 $12,485.72 $12,499.74 $-218.92
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET $205.77 60 $12,346.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $211.39 60 $12,683.40 $12,836.74 +$337.00
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:00am ET $209.71 61 $12,792.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:30am ET $209.96 61 $12,807.86 $12,852.29 +$15.55
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:30am ET $200.30 64 $12,819.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $197.99 64 $12,671.36 $12,704.13 $-148.16
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.99 56 $12,543.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $257.68 56 $14,430.08 $14,590.77 +$1,886.64
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $273.04 53 $14,471.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $259.21 53 $13,738.13 $13,857.78 $-732.99
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,857.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,857.78
Total Return: +38.58%
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