Compendium › Surge › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 17 trades in period

+10.09%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,178.70
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$13,787.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.7/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 32.0/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 29.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,476
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,787.92
Current Value
$15,178.70
Period P&L
$1,390.78
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+15.00%
Worst Trade
-9.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.68%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$450,735.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,390.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,390.78
Gross Return
+10.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,787.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:15am ET $341.18 40 $13,647.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:45am ET $346.85 40 $13,874.00 $14,014.72 +$226.80
(+1.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $358.47 39 $13,980.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:50am ET $353.50 39 $13,786.50 $13,820.83 $-193.89
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:30am ET $368.47 37 $13,633.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:25pm ET $378.08 37 $13,988.96 $14,176.40 +$355.57
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:30am ET $394.79 35 $13,817.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:00pm ET $400.13 35 $14,004.55 $14,363.30 +$186.90
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:05am ET $403.01 35 $14,105.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 11:35am ET $402.01 35 $14,070.35 $14,328.30 $-35.00
(-0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:45pm ET $407.19 35 $14,251.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $397.16 35 $13,900.51 $13,977.33 $-350.97
(-2.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:15pm ET $407.54 34 $13,856.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET $368.59 34 $12,531.89 $12,653.03 $-1,324.30
(-9.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 11:05am ET $344.30 36 $12,394.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 11:35am ET $350.85 36 $12,630.60 $12,888.95 +$235.92
(+1.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 10:30am ET $352.73 36 $12,698.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 10:00am ET $347.04 36 $12,493.55 $12,684.40 $-204.55
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:20am ET $345.93 36 $12,453.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:50am ET $349.34 36 $12,576.24 $12,807.09 +$122.69
(+1.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:55am ET $348.78 36 $12,556.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $344.91 36 $12,416.76 $12,667.77 $-139.32
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $340.20 37 $12,587.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET $349.51 37 $12,931.87 $13,012.43 +$344.66
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:30pm ET $353.42 36 $12,723.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $355.87 36 $12,811.32 $13,100.63 +$88.20
(+0.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:05am ET $332.68 39 $12,974.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET $329.07 39 $12,833.54 $12,959.64 $-140.99
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $329.05 39 $12,832.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $337.65 39 $13,168.35 $13,295.04 +$335.40
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:15am ET $344.54 38 $13,092.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:45am ET $342.51 38 $13,015.19 $13,217.90 $-77.14
(-0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 40 $13,068.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $375.73 40 $15,029.20 $15,178.70 +$1,960.80
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,178.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,178.70
Total Return: +51.79%
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