Compendium › Surge › C
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
C
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 27 trades in period

+31.33%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,537.33
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$13,353.29
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.8/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 51.7/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 48.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,799
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
135 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,353.29
Current Value
$17,537.33
Period P&L
$4,184.04
Max Drawdown
-15.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
15 / 12
Best Trade
+16.84%
Worst Trade
-1.37%
Avg Trade Return
+1.08%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$771,678.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,184.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,184.04
Gross Return
+31.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 135 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,353.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 12:05pm ET $101.70 131 $13,322.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET $100.64 131 $13,183.84 $13,190.85 $-138.20
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $100.60 131 $13,177.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:20am ET $100.36 131 $13,147.16 $13,160.07 $-30.78
(-0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:45am ET $100.35 131 $13,145.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:10am ET $99.22 131 $12,997.82 $13,012.04 $-148.03
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:25am ET $98.40 132 $12,988.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:55am ET $99.92 132 $13,189.44 $13,212.68 +$200.64
(+1.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 12:05pm ET $98.78 133 $13,137.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:35pm ET $100.00 133 $13,300.00 $13,375.60 +$162.92
(+1.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:40pm ET $100.09 133 $13,311.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:10pm ET $100.80 133 $13,406.40 $13,470.03 +$94.43
(+0.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:00am ET $103.10 130 $13,402.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 11:30am ET $104.28 130 $13,555.75 $13,623.43 +$153.40
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:35am ET $104.20 130 $13,546.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:20am ET $103.16 130 $13,410.15 $13,487.58 $-135.85
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:45am ET $104.10 129 $13,428.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:15am ET $105.21 129 $13,571.45 $13,630.13 +$142.55
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:20am ET $105.25 129 $13,577.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:15am ET $108.22 129 $13,960.04 $14,012.92 +$382.79
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:20am ET $108.19 129 $13,956.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:50am ET $108.82 129 $14,037.14 $14,093.55 +$80.63
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:40pm ET $109.29 128 $13,989.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 12:30pm ET $108.13 128 $13,840.38 $13,944.81 $-148.74
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET $111.27 125 $13,908.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:00pm ET $111.68 125 $13,960.00 $13,996.06 +$51.25
(+0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:20am ET $114.72 122 $13,995.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:50am ET $116.95 122 $14,267.89 $14,268.11 +$272.05
(+1.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 11:10am ET $117.45 121 $14,211.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:40am ET $119.65 121 $14,477.65 $14,534.31 +$266.20
(+1.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 12:10pm ET $119.83 121 $14,498.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 12:40pm ET $122.03 121 $14,765.63 $14,801.12 +$266.81
(+1.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $117.78 125 $14,721.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $122.81 125 $15,351.25 $15,430.50 +$629.38
(+4.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET $123.27 125 $15,408.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET $123.25 125 $15,406.25 $15,428.00 $-2.50
(-0.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:25am ET $122.20 126 $15,397.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $120.94 126 $15,238.44 $15,269.24 $-158.76
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET $117.54 129 $15,162.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:50am ET $117.46 129 $15,151.70 $15,258.27 $-10.97
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $115.95 131 $15,189.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $114.73 131 $15,029.63 $15,098.45 $-159.82
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $116.45 129 $15,022.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $115.18 129 $14,858.22 $14,934.62 $-163.83
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET $116.41 128 $14,900.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:40am ET $117.12 128 $14,991.36 $15,025.50 +$90.88
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET $121.33 123 $14,923.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET $124.25 123 $15,282.75 $15,384.66 +$359.16
(+2.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $124.56 123 $15,320.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $122.85 123 $15,110.55 $15,174.33 $-210.33
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $111.25 136 $15,129.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $110.10 136 $14,973.60 $15,018.61 $-155.72
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $110.00 136 $14,960.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $128.52 136 $17,478.72 $17,537.33 +$2,518.72
(+16.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
35d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,537.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,537.33
Total Return: +75.37%
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