Compendium › Surge › CMCSA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CMCSA
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-08 to present • 28 trades in period

+6.61%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,546.24
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$8,953.99
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-08 23:21:29

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.4
Active
⛈️ 3 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 7.3/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 7.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,281
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-08 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
135 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,953.99
Current Value
$9,546.24
Period P&L
$592.25
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
16 / 12
Best Trade
+3.66%
Worst Trade
-5.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$531,535.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$592.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$592.25
Gross Return
+6.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 135 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,953.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:00pm ET $27.51 325 $8,939.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:30pm ET $27.72 325 $9,007.38 $9,022.24 +$68.25
(+0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 1:25pm ET $27.75 325 $9,018.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:55pm ET $28.23 325 $9,173.13 $9,176.62 +$154.38
(+1.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:05am ET $27.08 338 $9,153.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:35am ET $27.04 338 $9,137.83 $9,161.41 $-15.21
(-0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:25am ET $26.83 341 $9,147.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET $26.56 341 $9,055.26 $9,069.34 $-92.07
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 1:50pm ET $27.21 333 $9,059.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:05pm ET $26.87 333 $8,946.05 $8,956.09 $-113.25
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:35pm ET $27.44 326 $8,943.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 1:05pm ET $27.35 326 $8,916.10 $8,928.38 $-27.71
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:45am ET $26.87 332 $8,919.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $27.08 332 $8,988.90 $8,998.10 +$69.72
(+0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:45pm ET $27.12 331 $8,975.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:15pm ET $27.42 331 $9,076.02 $9,099.06 +$100.96
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:45am ET $27.89 326 $9,090.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $28.91 326 $9,423.03 $9,431.58 +$332.52
(+3.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET $29.02 325 $9,429.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:30pm ET $29.79 325 $9,680.13 $9,681.83 +$250.25
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:05am ET $29.94 323 $9,669.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 10:35am ET $30.22 323 $9,761.06 $9,773.89 +$92.06
(+0.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:05am ET $30.33 322 $9,764.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET $29.98 322 $9,651.95 $9,661.19 $-112.70
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $29.81 324 $9,656.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $29.66 324 $9,608.22 $9,612.56 $-48.63
(-0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 2:45pm ET $29.89 321 $9,594.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:15pm ET $30.00 321 $9,628.40 $9,646.27 +$33.71
(+0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 11:15am ET $30.02 321 $9,636.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $29.62 321 $9,506.42 $9,516.30 $-129.97
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:10am ET $28.37 335 $9,503.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $28.08 335 $9,405.13 $9,417.47 $-98.83
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET $27.97 336 $9,396.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:55am ET $28.29 336 $9,505.44 $9,526.67 +$109.20
(+1.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:50am ET $28.39 335 $9,510.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET $29.11 335 $9,751.85 $9,767.87 +$241.20
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET $29.08 335 $9,741.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET $28.78 335 $9,641.30 $9,667.37 $-100.50
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $28.23 342 $9,654.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET $28.60 342 $9,779.49 $9,792.20 +$124.83
(+1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.95 338 $9,785.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $29.05 338 $9,817.21 $9,824.31 +$32.11
(+0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:50am ET $29.23 336 $9,819.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $29.45 336 $9,893.52 $9,898.23 +$73.92
(+0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $29.60 334 $9,884.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $29.30 334 $9,784.53 $9,798.03 $-100.20
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $30.74 318 $9,775.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:40am ET $30.41 318 $9,670.38 $9,693.09 $-104.94
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $31.31 309 $9,674.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $31.47 309 $9,722.69 $9,740.99 +$47.90
(+0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $31.51 309 $9,738.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $32.24 309 $9,960.62 $9,963.47 +$222.48
(+2.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $32.28 308 $9,940.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $32.56 308 $10,030.02 $10,052.79 +$89.32
(+0.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $30.45 330 $10,048.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:50am ET $28.92 330 $9,541.95 $9,546.24 $-506.55
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,546.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-453.76
Total Return: -4.54%
Back to Surge