Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:33:18

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.3/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 48.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 48.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,991
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,975.49
Current Value
$19,524.84
Period P&L
$-450.65
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
5 / 11
Best Trade
+15.91%
Worst Trade
-7.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$668,101.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-450.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-450.65
Gross Return
-2.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $19,975.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:25am ET $253.67 78 $19,786.27
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:30pm ET $250.43 78 $19,533.35 $19,722.58 $-252.91
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:15am ET $235.56 83 $19,551.48
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 2:05pm ET $232.81 83 $19,323.23 $19,494.33 $-228.25
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET $233.29 83 $19,363.07
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $254.11 83 $21,091.13 $21,222.39 +$1,728.06
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $255.85 82 $20,979.70
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $252.62 82 $20,714.43 $20,957.12 $-265.27
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET $244.64 85 $20,794.40
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:55am ET $250.77 85 $21,315.03 $21,477.75 +$520.63
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET $252.70 84 $21,226.80
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $250.02 84 $21,001.68 $21,252.63 $-225.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $242.08 87 $21,060.92
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET $238.56 87 $20,754.72 $20,946.43 $-306.20
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:45am ET $159.17 131 $20,851.27
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $163.38 131 $21,402.78 $21,497.94 +$551.51
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $165.05 130 $21,456.50
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:10am ET $163.10 130 $21,203.65 $21,245.09 $-252.85
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $166.17 127 $21,103.59
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $164.30 127 $20,866.10 $21,007.60 $-237.49
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:00am ET $157.26 133 $20,915.58
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:20am ET $161.25 133 $21,446.25 $21,538.27 +$530.67
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $203.68 105 $21,386.40
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $190.04 105 $19,954.20 $20,106.07 $-1,432.20
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $164.45 122 $20,062.90
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $190.62 122 $23,255.64 $23,298.81 +$3,192.74
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $205.16 113 $23,183.08
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $194.87 113 $22,019.75 $22,135.48 $-1,163.33
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 111 $22,133.95
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $185.40 111 $20,578.85 $20,580.37 $-1,555.11
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $171.60 119 $20,420.40
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $162.73 119 $19,364.87 $19,524.84 $-1,055.53
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,524.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,524.84
Total Return: +95.25%
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