COP Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 31 trades in period
-8.51%
Last 6 Months Return
$6,122.45
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$6,692.29
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality
3.5/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 3.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,934
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,692.29
Current Value
$6,122.45
Period P&L
$-569.84
Max Drawdown
-40.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
11 /
20
Best Trade
+2.63%
Worst Trade
-6.97%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$397,509.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-569.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-569.84
Gross Return
-8.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $6,692.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET | $88.28 | 75 | $6,621.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:40am ET | $86.86 | 75 | $6,514.50 | $6,585.79 |
$-106.50 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 12:55pm ET | $88.28 | 74 | $6,532.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:35am ET | $90.58 | 74 | $6,702.92 | $6,755.99 |
+$170.20 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:55am ET | $91.03 | 74 | $6,735.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $89.87 | 74 | $6,650.38 | $6,670.52 |
$-85.47 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $90.46 | 73 | $6,603.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 2:15pm ET | $89.49 | 73 | $6,532.41 | $6,599.35 |
$-71.17 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:55am ET | $90.90 | 72 | $6,544.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $89.91 | 72 | $6,473.16 | $6,527.71 |
$-71.64 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:55pm ET | $89.75 | 72 | $6,462.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $87.58 | 72 | $6,305.40 | $6,371.11 |
$-156.60 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:15am ET | $89.92 | 70 | $6,294.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:10pm ET | $88.99 | 70 | $6,229.30 | $6,306.01 |
$-65.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:50am ET | $87.97 | 71 | $6,245.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $86.95 | 71 | $6,173.45 | $6,233.59 |
$-72.42 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET | $87.47 | 71 | $6,210.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $86.11 | 71 | $6,113.46 | $6,136.68 |
$-96.91 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:55am ET | $87.52 | 70 | $6,126.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:25pm ET | $89.04 | 70 | $6,232.45 | $6,243.08 |
+$106.40 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:35pm ET | $89.03 | 70 | $6,232.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $88.74 | 70 | $6,211.88 | $6,222.86 |
$-20.22 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:05am ET | $91.16 | 68 | $6,198.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET | $92.24 | 68 | $6,272.54 | $6,296.86 |
+$74.00 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 12:45pm ET | $92.88 | 67 | $6,222.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 1:15pm ET | $94.42 | 67 | $6,326.14 | $6,400.38 |
+$103.52 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 1:20pm ET | $94.39 | 67 | $6,324.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:55am ET | $93.34 | 67 | $6,253.78 | $6,330.03 |
$-70.35 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 10:45am ET | $95.06 | 66 | $6,273.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:40am ET | $97.56 | 66 | $6,438.96 | $6,495.03 |
+$165.00 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:45am ET | $97.46 | 66 | $6,432.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:50pm ET | $96.47 | 66 | $6,367.02 | $6,429.69 |
$-65.34 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $93.31 | 68 | $6,345.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 11:45am ET | $92.85 | 68 | $6,313.80 | $6,398.41 |
$-31.28 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 3:20pm ET | $94.16 | 67 | $6,308.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 3:50pm ET | $93.59 | 67 | $6,270.53 | $6,360.22 |
$-38.19 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $94.12 | 67 | $6,305.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $96.57 | 67 | $6,470.19 | $6,524.71 |
+$164.49 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $96.87 | 67 | $6,490.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $99.37 | 67 | $6,657.79 | $6,692.21 |
+$167.50 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $100.38 | 66 | $6,625.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $99.20 | 66 | $6,547.20 | $6,614.33 |
$-77.88 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $100.07 | 66 | $6,604.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $98.97 | 66 | $6,532.02 | $6,541.73 |
$-72.60 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $98.89 | 66 | $6,526.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $97.80 | 66 | $6,454.80 | $6,469.79 |
$-71.94 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $103.55 | 62 | $6,420.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $102.29 | 62 | $6,341.67 | $6,391.35 |
$-78.44 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $102.74 | 62 | $6,369.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $104.49 | 62 | $6,478.38 | $6,500.16 |
+$108.81 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $104.64 | 62 | $6,487.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $107.30 | 62 | $6,652.60 | $6,665.08 |
+$164.92 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $107.63 | 61 | $6,565.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $105.59 | 61 | $6,440.99 | $6,540.64 |
$-124.44 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $107.48 | 60 | $6,448.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $107.94 | 60 | $6,476.40 | $6,568.24 |
+$27.60 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $108.77 | 60 | $6,526.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $107.58 | 60 | $6,455.10 | $6,497.14 |
$-71.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $109.99 | 59 | $6,489.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $111.28 | 59 | $6,565.52 | $6,573.25 |
+$76.11 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.96 | 49 | $6,466.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.76 | 49 | $6,015.24 | $6,122.45 |
$-450.80 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,122.45
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,877.55
Total Return:
-38.78%