Compendium › Surge › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 24 trades in period

+20.72%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,543.59
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$8,734.05
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:48:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 15.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 11.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,245
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,734.05
Current Value
$10,543.59
Period P&L
$1,809.54
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
13 / 11
Best Trade
+6.03%
Worst Trade
-1.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$448,850.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,809.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,809.54
Gross Return
+20.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,734.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:45pm ET $72.50 121 $8,772.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $71.47 121 $8,647.87 $8,700.17 $-124.63
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET $72.77 119 $8,659.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $77.16 119 $9,182.04 $9,222.58 +$522.41
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:20am ET $77.95 118 $9,198.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:50am ET $79.23 118 $9,349.15 $9,373.63 +$151.05
(+1.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:55am ET $79.19 118 $9,343.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $78.39 118 $9,249.43 $9,279.23 $-94.40
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $78.89 117 $9,230.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $77.93 117 $9,117.81 $9,166.91 $-112.32
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 12:05pm ET $76.59 119 $9,113.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:35pm ET $76.43 119 $9,095.17 $9,148.47 $-18.44
(-0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:45am ET $76.52 119 $9,105.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:10pm ET $76.28 119 $9,076.73 $9,119.32 $-29.15
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 2:00pm ET $76.60 119 $9,114.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:30pm ET $77.56 119 $9,229.05 $9,233.56 +$114.24
(+1.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 2:35pm ET $77.53 119 $9,225.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:05pm ET $77.47 119 $9,218.34 $9,226.04 $-7.52
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:05am ET $79.39 116 $9,208.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 11:35am ET $79.86 116 $9,263.18 $9,280.56 +$54.52
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:40am ET $79.88 116 $9,266.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:25am ET $79.02 116 $9,165.74 $9,180.22 $-100.34
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:00am ET $77.71 118 $9,169.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:30am ET $78.18 118 $9,224.66 $9,235.69 +$55.47
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $78.39 117 $9,171.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:35pm ET $78.13 117 $9,141.69 $9,205.77 $-29.92
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $74.31 123 $9,140.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:25am ET $73.55 123 $9,046.65 $9,112.29 $-93.48
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $73.95 123 $9,095.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:20am ET $74.73 123 $9,191.79 $9,208.85 +$96.56
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET $74.36 123 $9,145.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $73.59 123 $9,051.57 $9,114.75 $-94.10
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET $74.65 122 $9,106.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET $76.62 122 $9,348.18 $9,356.24 +$241.49
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $77.18 121 $9,339.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $78.83 121 $9,538.43 $9,555.44 +$199.20
(+2.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $78.81 121 $9,535.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $78.81 121 $9,535.41 $9,555.43 $-0.01
(+0.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $79.75 119 $9,490.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $82.02 119 $9,760.38 $9,824.96 +$269.53
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET $82.77 118 $9,766.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET $83.89 118 $9,899.61 $9,957.71 +$132.75
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $84.44 117 $9,879.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:25am ET $86.68 117 $10,140.98 $10,219.21 +$261.50
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $86.57 118 $10,215.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $87.08 118 $10,276.03 $10,279.39 +$60.18
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET $74.97 137 $10,270.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $76.89 137 $10,534.61 $10,543.59 +$264.20
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,543.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$543.59
Total Return: +5.44%
Back to Surge