Compendium › Surge › DIS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIS
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 22 trades in period

-8.15%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,617.54
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,293.81
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:23:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,144
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,293.81
Current Value
$7,617.54
Period P&L
$-676.27
Max Drawdown
-33.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
11 / 11
Best Trade
+2.67%
Worst Trade
-8.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$342,863.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-676.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-676.27
Gross Return
-8.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,293.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 12:15pm ET $111.83 74 $8,275.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $109.88 74 $8,131.12 $8,184.29 $-144.30
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:10am ET $113.85 71 $8,083.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:40am ET $115.94 71 $8,231.39 $8,332.68 +$148.39
(+1.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 1:25pm ET $116.67 71 $8,283.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $107.13 71 $7,606.23 $7,655.34 $-677.34
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET $104.24 73 $7,609.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $102.83 73 $7,506.59 $7,552.41 $-102.93
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET $103.59 72 $7,458.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET $104.01 72 $7,488.72 $7,582.65 +$30.24
(+0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:25am ET $104.46 72 $7,521.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:50pm ET $106.44 72 $7,663.64 $7,725.18 +$142.53
(+1.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $107.08 72 $7,709.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 12:45pm ET $106.64 72 $7,678.08 $7,693.50 $-31.68
(-0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 10:45am ET $107.74 71 $7,649.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $110.62 71 $7,854.02 $7,897.98 +$204.48
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:40am ET $112.33 70 $7,862.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:10am ET $112.80 70 $7,896.00 $7,931.23 +$33.25
(+0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:30pm ET $113.04 70 $7,912.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:55am ET $113.65 70 $7,955.50 $7,973.93 +$42.70
(+0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET $113.39 70 $7,937.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET $114.31 70 $8,001.77 $8,038.21 +$64.28
(+0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $114.46 70 $8,012.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET $113.85 70 $7,969.40 $7,995.41 $-42.80
(-0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:35am ET $113.89 70 $7,972.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $114.05 70 $7,983.50 $8,006.61 +$11.20
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $115.60 69 $7,976.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET $113.34 69 $7,820.46 $7,851.01 $-155.60
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:55am ET $111.02 70 $7,771.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:55pm ET $109.90 70 $7,693.00 $7,772.96 $-78.05
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $112.63 69 $7,771.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $112.47 69 $7,760.43 $7,762.26 $-10.70
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:55am ET $110.48 70 $7,733.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET $111.75 70 $7,822.50 $7,851.16 +$88.90
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET $107.02 73 $7,812.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $105.57 73 $7,706.25 $7,744.95 $-106.21
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $106.77 72 $7,687.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $105.44 72 $7,591.68 $7,649.43 $-95.52
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET $107.57 71 $7,637.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:50am ET $107.63 71 $7,641.73 $7,653.34 +$3.91
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:40am ET $110.46 69 $7,621.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $108.59 69 $7,492.71 $7,524.65 $-128.69
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:15am ET $104.01 72 $7,488.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $105.30 72 $7,581.61 $7,617.54 +$92.89
(+1.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,617.54
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,382.46
Total Return: -23.82%
Back to Surge