DKNG Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 32 trades in period
-24.64%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,103.44
Current Value
19%
Win Rate
$10,753.31
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
4.3/100
× Confidence 0.92
= 3.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,337
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,753.31
Current Value
$8,103.44
Period P&L
$-2,649.87
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.49
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
6 /
26
Best Trade
+2.95%
Worst Trade
-5.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.87%
Avg Hold Time
14.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$639,305.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,649.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,649.87
Gross Return
-24.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.64%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,753.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $29.12 | 369 | $10,745.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $28.77 | 369 | $10,617.79 | $10,625.82 |
$-127.49 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:20am ET | $31.30 | 339 | $10,610.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 12:05pm ET | $30.89 | 339 | $10,471.71 | $10,486.83 |
$-138.99 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:45pm ET | $30.63 | 342 | $10,473.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 1:50pm ET | $30.28 | 342 | $10,354.05 | $10,367.13 |
$-119.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 12:05pm ET | $29.44 | 352 | $10,362.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $29.10 | 352 | $10,241.44 | $10,245.69 |
$-121.44 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:35pm ET | $29.15 | 351 | $10,231.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:05pm ET | $29.00 | 351 | $10,179.00 | $10,193.04 |
$-52.65 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 12:10pm ET | $30.60 | 333 | $10,188.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:00pm ET | $30.24 | 333 | $10,069.92 | $10,074.82 |
$-118.22 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $30.56 | 329 | $10,052.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 12:05pm ET | $31.46 | 329 | $10,348.70 | $10,370.92 |
+$296.10 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:10am ET | $32.54 | 318 | $10,346.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:40am ET | $33.36 | 318 | $10,608.48 | $10,633.27 |
+$262.35 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 10:45am ET | $33.25 | 319 | $10,606.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 11:30am ET | $34.14 | 319 | $10,889.26 | $10,915.78 |
+$282.51 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 11:35am ET | $34.15 | 319 | $10,892.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $33.64 | 319 | $10,731.16 | $10,754.68 |
$-161.10 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.71 | 309 | $10,725.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 2:05pm ET | $34.30 | 309 | $10,598.70 | $10,627.99 |
$-126.69 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:50am ET | $34.83 | 305 | $10,623.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 12:20pm ET | $35.11 | 305 | $10,708.55 | $10,713.39 |
+$85.40 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:10am ET | $35.36 | 303 | $10,713.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 11:40am ET | $35.00 | 303 | $10,603.49 | $10,603.67 |
$-109.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:15am ET | $35.52 | 298 | $10,584.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $35.14 | 298 | $10,470.23 | $10,488.94 |
$-114.73 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 2:40pm ET | $35.69 | 293 | $10,455.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.75 | 293 | $10,181.75 | $10,214.98 |
$-273.96 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $35.69 | 286 | $10,207.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 11:10am ET | $35.21 | 286 | $10,070.06 | $10,077.70 |
$-137.28 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:30pm ET | $35.04 | 287 | $10,055.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.46 | 287 | $9,891.14 | $9,913.79 |
$-163.91 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 10:35am ET | $35.11 | 282 | $9,901.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 1:15pm ET | $34.74 | 282 | $9,795.27 | $9,808.04 |
$-105.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $35.44 | 276 | $9,780.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $36.39 | 276 | $10,043.64 | $10,071.62 |
+$263.58 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $36.43 | 276 | $10,053.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $36.56 | 276 | $10,090.59 | $10,108.91 |
+$37.29 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $35.32 | 286 | $10,101.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:15am ET | $34.96 | 286 | $9,998.56 | $10,006.32 |
$-102.59 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $35.08 | 285 | $9,996.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:55pm ET | $34.63 | 285 | $9,869.55 | $9,879.49 |
$-126.83 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $34.43 | 286 | $9,847.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $34.08 | 286 | $9,745.45 | $9,777.67 |
$-101.82 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $35.81 | 273 | $9,776.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET | $35.40 | 273 | $9,662.84 | $9,664.37 |
$-113.30 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $32.75 | 295 | $9,662.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $32.34 | 295 | $9,540.30 | $9,541.97 |
$-122.40 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $32.22 | 296 | $9,537.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 12:35pm ET | $31.74 | 296 | $9,395.04 | $9,399.89 |
$-142.08 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $30.82 | 304 | $9,369.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $30.50 | 304 | $9,270.48 | $9,301.09 |
$-98.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $30.92 | 300 | $9,274.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $30.58 | 300 | $9,174.00 | $9,200.59 |
$-100.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $27.05 | 340 | $9,197.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $26.75 | 340 | $9,095.00 | $9,098.59 |
$-102.00 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $27.28 | 333 | $9,084.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $26.99 | 333 | $8,987.67 | $9,002.02 |
$-96.57 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.24 | 356 | $8,985.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $23.98 | 356 | $8,535.10 | $8,551.68 |
$-450.34 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.72 | 360 | $8,537.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $22.47 | 360 | $8,089.16 | $8,103.44 |
$-448.24 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,103.44
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,896.56
Total Return:
-18.97%